CAJ | 학술논문

基于人口指标构建了老年人力资本测算体系，其指标选取包括人口规模、健康状况、教育状况与工作经验。其中，健康状况对人力资本贡献最大，教育状况次之。老年人力资本测算结果显示：2000-2010年，我国60-69岁老年人力资本总量增长明显，但年增长速度略有下降。其中，60-64岁老年人力资本总量大于65-69岁老年人力资本总量，城镇老年人力资本相比农村老年人力资本更有优势，但随着时间推移，这两种差距都在缩小。由于未来我国人口老龄化将由预期寿命的延长主导，预测2025年以后，65-69岁老年人力资本总量将明显超过60-64岁老年人力资本总量。可以说，老年人口是未来社会、经济发展可持续利用的重要资源，要做好全方位、多角度的准备，以保证老年人力资本的有效利用，从而更好地应对和解决人口老龄化问题。
기우인구지표구건료노년인력자본측산체계，기지표선취포괄인구규모、건강상황、교육상황여공작경험。기중，건강상황대인력자본공헌최대，교육상황차지。노년인력자본측산결과현시：2000-2010년，아국60-69세노년인력자본총량증장명현，단년증장속도략유하강。기중，60-64세노년인력자본총량대우65-69세노년인력자본총량，성진노년인력자본상비농촌노년인력자본경유우세，단수착시간추이，저량충차거도재축소。유우미래아국인구노령화장유예기수명적연장주도，예측2025년이후，65-69세노년인력자본총량장명현초과60-64세노년인력자본총량。가이설，노년인구시미래사회、경제발전가지속이용적중요자원，요주호전방위、다각도적준비，이보증노년인력자본적유효이용，종이경호지응대화해결인구노령화문제。
This paper builds a system which estimate the human capital of the elderly based on some population indicators, including the population size, health, education and work experience. The variable of health makes the greatest contribution to the system, the education comes second. The total amount of human capital of the elderly from 60 to 69 shows an increasing tendency during the year of 2000 to 2010. The human capital of elderly at the age of 60 to 64 is larger than the elderly at the age of 65 to 69, and the human capital of urban elderly is larger than the rural elderly. However, the gaps narrow in recent years. Forecast shows that the amount of the elderly human capital at the age of 65 to 69 will be larger than the age of 60 to 64. In conclusion, the elderly resource is useful and sustainable in the future, and it would be a better way to tackle the issues causing by aging if the elderly resource could be reused effectively.