植物保护
植物保護
식물보호
Plant Protection
2015年
5期
13-16
,共4页
李春广%刘梦泽%汤金仪%姜玉英%赵中华%沈佐锐%程登发
李春廣%劉夢澤%湯金儀%薑玉英%趙中華%瀋佐銳%程登髮
리춘엄%류몽택%탕금의%강옥영%조중화%침좌예%정등발
病虫发生级别%5 级自然损失率%逻辑斯蒂曲线%倍率指数曲线
病蟲髮生級彆%5 級自然損失率%邏輯斯蒂麯線%倍率指數麯線
병충발생급별%5 급자연손실솔%라집사체곡선%배솔지수곡선
diseases and pests occurrence level%level 5 natural loss rate%logistic curve%double rate exponen-tial curve
在全国范围内征集的农作物病虫5级自然损失率大多在15%~45%之间,客观证实了不同病虫发生级别相同时自然危害损失率之间存在差异。一方面病虫发生量与其自然危害损失率之间理论上为逻辑斯蒂曲线关系,另一方面病虫发生级别的判定存在着人为的经验感知比较,加之病虫5级自然损失率一般低于50%,为统一简化关系且便于计算,我们将病虫1~5级相邻发生级别间自然危害损失率近似确定为倍率指数曲线关系。
在全國範圍內徵集的農作物病蟲5級自然損失率大多在15%~45%之間,客觀證實瞭不同病蟲髮生級彆相同時自然危害損失率之間存在差異。一方麵病蟲髮生量與其自然危害損失率之間理論上為邏輯斯蒂麯線關繫,另一方麵病蟲髮生級彆的判定存在著人為的經驗感知比較,加之病蟲5級自然損失率一般低于50%,為統一簡化關繫且便于計算,我們將病蟲1~5級相鄰髮生級彆間自然危害損失率近似確定為倍率指數麯線關繫。
재전국범위내정집적농작물병충5급자연손실솔대다재15%~45%지간,객관증실료불동병충발생급별상동시자연위해손실솔지간존재차이。일방면병충발생량여기자연위해손실솔지간이론상위라집사체곡선관계,령일방면병충발생급별적판정존재착인위적경험감지비교,가지병충5급자연손실솔일반저우50%,위통일간화관계차편우계산,아문장병충1~5급상린발생급별간자연위해손실솔근사학정위배솔지수곡선관계。
The natural loss rate of crop diseases and pests collected nationwide with occurrence level 5 was mostly between 1 5%-45%,which objectively confirmed that different diseases and pests at the same occurrence level existed differences between natural loss rates.On one hand,the relationship between the amount of pests and dis-eases and natural loss rate showed logistic curve theoretically,on the other hand,there is a comparison of human perceptual experience in the determination of diseases and pests occurrence level.What is more,the natural loss rate of pests with occurrence level 5 is generally lower than 50%.For a unified and simplified relationship and easy calculation,we approximately identified the natural loss rate of the pests at adjacent level from 1 to 5 as double rate exponential curve relationship.