CAJ | 학술논문

从房地产行业和经济人口角度总结以往房价影响因素指标中存在的信息冗杂、代表性不强的问题，对以往的房地产行业和经济人口影响因素指标进行了修正和补充，以11个新一线城市的房价为例，建立新的指标体系，用灰色关联分析法分析了影响房价的因素及其与房价的关联程度。结果表明：影响房价的因素影响程度由大到小依次为城镇人均可支配收入、人均GDP、城镇新增就业人口、住宅开发投资额、住宅销售面积、住宅待售面积、住宅新开工面积、住宅竣工面积、住宅施工面积、居民消费价格指数；经济人口的需求因素对房价的关联度大于房地产行业的供应因素；人口因素对房价的关联程度低于区域经济因素。
종방지산행업화경제인구각도총결이왕방개영향인소지표중존재적신식용잡、대표성불강적문제，대이왕적방지산행업화경제인구영향인소지표진행료수정화보충，이11개신일선성시적방개위례，건립신적지표체계，용회색관련분석법분석료영향방개적인소급기여방개적관련정도。결과표명：영향방개적인소영향정도유대도소의차위성진인균가지배수입、인균GDP、성진신증취업인구、주택개발투자액、주택소수면적、주택대수면적、주택신개공면적、주택준공면적、주택시공면적、거민소비개격지수；경제인구적수구인소대방개적관련도대우방지산행업적공응인소；인구인소대방개적관련정도저우구역경제인소。
Summarizing the existing miscellaneous information and weak representation problems in house price influence factors in the past from the real estate industry and economic population perspec -tive, the paper updates and improves the indictors of the real estate industry and the economic influence factors .Taking 11 new first tier cities as an example , the paper establishes a new index system , and ana-lyzes the relation between the factors and the house price by grey relational analysis .The results show that the factors influencing the housing price from the greatest to smallest are urban per capita disposable income, real GDP per capita, urban new employment population, residential development investment , house sales area , for sale houses area , residential area of new development , residential completed area , residential construction area , consumer price index; demand factors of economic population on the correlation of the house price is greater than the supply factors of real estate industry; the connection degree of population factors on house prices is lower than the regional economic factors .