长安大学学报(社会科学版)
長安大學學報(社會科學版)
장안대학학보(사회과학판)
Journal of Chang'an University (Philosophy and Social Science Edition)
2015年
4期
42-47
,共6页
交通政策%交通模式%行为分析%MNL模型%Logsum差异%效益测算
交通政策%交通模式%行為分析%MNL模型%Logsum差異%效益測算
교통정책%교통모식%행위분석%MNL모형%Logsum차이%효익측산
transportation policy%transportation mode%behavior analysis%MNL%Logsum difference%benefit estimation
交通政策和管理措施的实施会对主卫城间多模式复合交通出行行为选择方式和系统整体效益产生影响,需要科学评估其影响程度,为城间交通模式的协调配置提供参考。在对城间交通模式及其出行行为特征进行分析的基础上,将基于随机效用理论的MNL模型和基于Logsun 差异的效益测算方法相结合,针对城间4种典型的交通模式,通过构建基准情景和多种可能情景,测算了不同交通政策实施对城间交通出行选择的影响和出行者效益。结果表明,实施公交优先(减少乘客出行时间)对城间交通出行选择行为的影响较大,并具有较明显的系统经济效益,在协调城间交通模式配置时可优先考虑。
交通政策和管理措施的實施會對主衛城間多模式複閤交通齣行行為選擇方式和繫統整體效益產生影響,需要科學評估其影響程度,為城間交通模式的協調配置提供參攷。在對城間交通模式及其齣行行為特徵進行分析的基礎上,將基于隨機效用理論的MNL模型和基于Logsun 差異的效益測算方法相結閤,針對城間4種典型的交通模式,通過構建基準情景和多種可能情景,測算瞭不同交通政策實施對城間交通齣行選擇的影響和齣行者效益。結果錶明,實施公交優先(減少乘客齣行時間)對城間交通齣行選擇行為的影響較大,併具有較明顯的繫統經濟效益,在協調城間交通模式配置時可優先攷慮。
교통정책화관리조시적실시회대주위성간다모식복합교통출행행위선택방식화계통정체효익산생영향,수요과학평고기영향정도,위성간교통모식적협조배치제공삼고。재대성간교통모식급기출행행위특정진행분석적기출상,장기우수궤효용이론적MNL모형화기우Logsun 차이적효익측산방법상결합,침대성간4충전형적교통모식,통과구건기준정경화다충가능정경,측산료불동교통정책실시대성간교통출행선택적영향화출행자효익。결과표명,실시공교우선(감소승객출행시간)대성간교통출행선택행위적영향교대,병구유교명현적계통경제효익,재협조성간교통모식배치시가우선고필。
Transport policy and management measures have an influence on muti-mode transporta-tion choice behavior between megacity and satellite city and the system’s whole benefits , which makes it necessary to make a scientific evaluation of the influence and provide a reference for the coordinated con-figuration of the intercity transportation mode .Based on the analysis of intercity transportation mode and the characteristics of travel behavior , MNL on the basis of random utility theory and benefit estimation method on the basis of Logsum differences were combined together .According to the four typical intercity traffic patterns, the influence of the different transportation policies on the intercity travel choice and travelers'benefits were estimated by constructing a baseline scenario and a variety of possible scenarios . The results show that the implementation of bus priority policy ( to reduce passenger travel time ) has a significant impact on intercity travelers'behavior choice and achieves obvious system economic benefits , which should be given priority in the coordination of intercity transportation mode .