CAJ | 학술논문

为揭示能源消耗回弹效应的形成机理，从三要素生产函数出发，根据一般均衡条件构建了回弹效应形成机理的数理模型，推导了短期生产和长期生产中能源消耗关于能源使用效率改善的弹性系数，进而获得用于分析回弹效应形成机理的短期回弹效应和长期回弹效应的解析式，最后根据参数的取值情况，分别对短期回弹效应和长期回弹效应进行了情景分析。结果表明：短期内回弹效应无法实现超节能的回弹情形；在长期，回弹效应不仅可表现为零回弹效应、部分回弹、全回弹、回火4种情形，还可能出现超节能的回弹情形。
위게시능원소모회탄효응적형성궤리，종삼요소생산함수출발，근거일반균형조건구건료회탄효응형성궤리적수리모형，추도료단기생산화장기생산중능원소모관우능원사용효솔개선적탄성계수，진이획득용우분석회탄효응형성궤리적단기회탄효응화장기회탄효응적해석식，최후근거삼수적취치정황，분별대단기회탄효응화장기회탄효응진행료정경분석。결과표명：단기내회탄효응무법실현초절능적회탄정형；재장기，회탄효응불부가표현위령회탄효응、부분회탄、전회탄、회화4충정형，환가능출현초절능적회탄정형。
To reveal the energy consumption rebound effect formation mechanism,starting from production function of three ele-ments,a mathematical model of rebound effect formation mechanism is built according to the general equilibrium conditions. Theelasticity of energy consumption to efficiency improvement in the short term and long term production is deduced,then the analytic expressions of short term rebound and long term rebound for analyze the rebound effect formation mechanism are ob-tained.Scenario analysis for shortterm rebound effect and longterm rebound effectistreated according to the parameter valuesre-spectively.Results show that super-conservation energy case can not be achieved in short term.Super-conservation energy case may be possible as well as the four cases:zero rebound,partial rebound,full rebound and back-fire.