交通科技与经济
交通科技與經濟
교통과기여경제
Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications
2015年
5期
10-14
,共5页
交通基础设施%经济增长%联立方程模型%内生性%福建经济发展
交通基礎設施%經濟增長%聯立方程模型%內生性%福建經濟髮展
교통기출설시%경제증장%련립방정모형%내생성%복건경제발전
transportation infrastructure%economic grow th%simultaneous equations model%endogenous%Fujian
基于宏观总生产方程和交通设施微观供需模型结合的联立方程模型，选取2004—2012年福建省时间序列数据，对福建省交通基础设施与经济增长的关系以及该省交通基础设施对经济增长的贡献率进行计量分析和测度。研究结果表明：交通基础设施与经济增长确实存在双向因果关系；交通基础设施对经济增长具有显著促进作用，贡献率为0.182。
基于宏觀總生產方程和交通設施微觀供需模型結閤的聯立方程模型，選取2004—2012年福建省時間序列數據，對福建省交通基礎設施與經濟增長的關繫以及該省交通基礎設施對經濟增長的貢獻率進行計量分析和測度。研究結果錶明：交通基礎設施與經濟增長確實存在雙嚮因果關繫；交通基礎設施對經濟增長具有顯著促進作用，貢獻率為0.182。
기우굉관총생산방정화교통설시미관공수모형결합적련립방정모형，선취2004—2012년복건성시간서렬수거，대복건성교통기출설시여경제증장적관계이급해성교통기출설시대경제증장적공헌솔진행계량분석화측도。연구결과표명：교통기출설시여경제증장학실존재쌍향인과관계；교통기출설시대경제증장구유현저촉진작용，공헌솔위0.182。
Based on simultaneous equations model combined with the macroscopic equation of total production and transportation facilities microscopic model of supply and demand ,selecting the time series data 2004—2012 in Fujian province ,we research on the relationship between the province’s transportation infrastructure on economic grow th as well as the quantitative analysis and measurement about the contribution rate of between the province’s transportation infrastructure on economic growth .The results show that there is a two‐way causal relationship between transport infrastructure and economic growth . Meanwhile ,transport infrastructure in Fujian province plays a significant role in economic growth ,which has rate of 0.182 .
