河北经贸大学学报
河北經貿大學學報
하북경무대학학보
Journal of Hebei University of Economics and Trade
2015年
6期
1-8
,共8页
终端市场转换%南南发展%一带一路%不对称全球化战略%转型升级%发达国家%不发达国家%经济一体化
終耑市場轉換%南南髮展%一帶一路%不對稱全毬化戰略%轉型升級%髮達國傢%不髮達國傢%經濟一體化
종단시장전환%남남발전%일대일로%불대칭전구화전략%전형승급%발체국가%불발체국가%경제일체화
the shift of end market%South-South development%one belt and one road%asymmetric globalization strategy%transformation and upgrading%developed countries%underdeveloped country%economic integration
研究说明，中国企业不可能通过融入发达国家跨国公司控制的全球价值链逐步升级到高端并成为其替代者，长期锁定在价值链的中低端是必然的宿命，这是我国目前转型升级难以摆脱的困局。发达国家成功的历史经验值得借鉴，当他们在历史上处于欠发达状态时都是通过拒绝与当时领先经济一体化并在落后国家建立自身掌控的商品链而崛起的。“一带一路”战略的核心是我国经济全球化的重心转向南方国家，国际金融危机爆发后，全球出口的终端市场明显地加快了由北方国家向南方国家的转移，世界经济格局的这种重大变化为“一带一路”战略通过借鉴历史经验取得成功提供了新机遇。终端市场向南方国家的转移为“一带一路”战略的实施提供了具体途径，该战略的目的不是要解决过剩产能，而是要建立由中国企业所掌控的新的全球价值链生态系统，从而实现转型升级的战略目标。
研究說明，中國企業不可能通過融入髮達國傢跨國公司控製的全毬價值鏈逐步升級到高耑併成為其替代者，長期鎖定在價值鏈的中低耑是必然的宿命，這是我國目前轉型升級難以襬脫的睏跼。髮達國傢成功的歷史經驗值得藉鑒，噹他們在歷史上處于欠髮達狀態時都是通過拒絕與噹時領先經濟一體化併在落後國傢建立自身掌控的商品鏈而崛起的。“一帶一路”戰略的覈心是我國經濟全毬化的重心轉嚮南方國傢，國際金融危機爆髮後，全毬齣口的終耑市場明顯地加快瞭由北方國傢嚮南方國傢的轉移，世界經濟格跼的這種重大變化為“一帶一路”戰略通過藉鑒歷史經驗取得成功提供瞭新機遇。終耑市場嚮南方國傢的轉移為“一帶一路”戰略的實施提供瞭具體途徑，該戰略的目的不是要解決過剩產能，而是要建立由中國企業所掌控的新的全毬價值鏈生態繫統，從而實現轉型升級的戰略目標。
연구설명，중국기업불가능통과융입발체국가과국공사공제적전구개치련축보승급도고단병성위기체대자，장기쇄정재개치련적중저단시필연적숙명，저시아국목전전형승급난이파탈적곤국。발체국가성공적역사경험치득차감，당타문재역사상처우흠발체상태시도시통과거절여당시령선경제일체화병재락후국가건립자신장공적상품련이굴기적。“일대일로”전략적핵심시아국경제전구화적중심전향남방국가，국제금융위궤폭발후，전구출구적종단시장명현지가쾌료유북방국가향남방국가적전이，세계경제격국적저충중대변화위“일대일로”전략통과차감역사경험취득성공제공료신궤우。종단시장향남방국가적전이위“일대일로”전략적실시제공료구체도경，해전략적목적불시요해결과잉산능，이시요건립유중국기업소장공적신적전구개치련생태계통，종이실현전형승급적전략목표。
The research shows that Chinese enterprises are impossible to gradually upgrade to the high end of global value chain which is dominated by multinational corporations from developed countries and become their replacers through integrating into the chain. It is an inevitable fate for them to be locked in the low and middle end of value chain for a long time, which is the predicament that China cannot escape. The historical experiences of developed countries succeeded are worth of learning and references, those countries once were less-developed in history all achieved the rising by refusing to be integrated into the leading economies at that time and establishing the commodity chain controlled by themselves in the backward countries. The core of "one belt, one road" strategy is that the focus of economic globalization for China should be changed to the southern nations. After the outbreak of global financial crisis, the end markets of global export shift from the North to the South at a much quicker pace, such significant changes in world economic pattern provide new opportunities for the "one belt, one road" strategy to get success on the basis of historical experiences. The transferring of end markets to southern nations provide specific ways of implement "one belt, one road" strategy, and the purpose of this strategy is not to tackle the problems of overcapacity, but to establish a new ecosystem of global value chain controlled by Chinese enterprises so that China can realize the strategic objective of transformation and upgrading.
