CAJ | 학술논문

城市化是人口集中、经济增长、空间扩张和社会转变相互影响、相互作用的综合过程,只有四者之间相互促进、协同发展,才能达到可持续城市化的目的.文章基于耦合协调度模型,对中国31个省份的人口、经济、空间和社会城市化之间的耦合度和协调度进行了测度,从全国、八大区域和省域三个尺度分析了耦合度和协调性的时间演变轨迹,并利用R/S分析方法对时间演变的趋势性进行了分析,文章还利用GIS手段,就耦合度和协调性的空间差异、空间格局及其演变特征进行了研究,结果表明:中国人口、经济、空间和社会城市化之间的耦合关系呈现出低强度耦合、低水平协调状态,且耦合强度在不断降低,但协调水平不断提高,耦合度和协调性的时间尺度演变具有很强的持续性;耦合度的空间差异有所扩大,而协调度的空间差异在逐渐缩小,耦合度和协调性的空间格局基本可以划分为三种类型区,大部分地区属于低耦合强度、低协调水平或较低耦合强度、较低协调水平类型区,仅有少数经济发展水平高的地区协调水平较高.
성시화시인구집중、경제증장、공간확장화사회전변상호영향、상호작용적종합과정,지유사자지간상호촉진、협동발전,재능체도가지속성시화적목적.문장기우우합협조도모형,대중국31개성빈적인구、경제、공간화사회성시화지간적우합도화협조도진행료측도,종전국、팔대구역화성역삼개척도분석료우합도화협조성적시간연변궤적,병이용R/S분석방법대시간연변적추세성진행료분석,문장환이용GIS수단,취우합도화협조성적공간차이、공간격국급기연변특정진행료연구,결과표명:중국인구、경제、공간화사회성시화지간적우합관계정현출저강도우합、저수평협조상태,차우합강도재불단강저,단협조수평불단제고,우합도화협조성적시간척도연변구유흔강적지속성;우합도적공간차이유소확대,이협조도적공간차이재축점축소,우합도화협조성적공간격국기본가이화분위삼충류형구,대부분지구속우저우합강도、저협조수평혹교저우합강도、교저협조수평류형구,부유소수경제발전수평고적지구협조수평교고.
Urbanization is an integrated process of mutual influence and interaction, involving population, economic growth, spatial expansion and social transformation, whose mutual promotion and coordinated de-velopment are the goals of sustainable urbanization. Based on the coupling coordination degree model, the population, economy, space, and urbanization of thirty-one areas in China have been examined. Three dimen-sions:the whole nation, eight districts, and provinces, have been used in the analysis of temporal evolution patterns of coupling degree and coordination level, and the temporal evolution trend is predicted by using R/S analysis method;meanwhile, by using GIS method, spatial differences, spatial patterns, and evolution char-acteristics of coupling degree and coordination are studied. The results show that China's population, econo-my, space and urbanization present low coupling degree and low coordination level;although when the cou-pling degree tends to drop further, the coordination level tends to improve;and the time scale evolution of coupling and coordination demonstrates a strong sustainability. The results also show that the spatial differ-ence of coupling degree widens while the spatial difference of coordination level narrows;the spatial pattern of coupling and coordination can be divided into three types based on the features of districts;most districts have low coupling degree and low coordination level or low coupling degree and comparatively low coordi-nation level;only a handful of economically developed districts have high coordination level.