中国电机工程学报
中國電機工程學報
중국전궤공정학보
Proceedings of the CSEE
2015年
19期
4930-4936,后插4
,共8页
周任军%陈瑞先%童小娇%李献梅%闵雄帮%刘志勇%章杰
週任軍%陳瑞先%童小嬌%李獻梅%閔雄幫%劉誌勇%章傑
주임군%진서선%동소교%리헌매%민웅방%류지용%장걸
多步整合模型%风险限制调度%线路阻塞%条件风险%随机变量%日前调度
多步整閤模型%風險限製調度%線路阻塞%條件風險%隨機變量%日前調度
다보정합모형%풍험한제조도%선로조새%조건풍험%수궤변량%일전조도
multi-step integration model%risk-limiting dispatch%line congestion%conditional value at risk (CVaR)%random variable%day ahead dispatch
针对国际学界提出的电网智能运行中风险限制调度的框架,新建考虑线路阻塞的风险限制调度多步整合模型,包括日前三步整合调度模型、时前两步整合调度模型和紧急调度模型.日前三步整合调度是在日前调度中计入预估的时前、紧急调度的随机信息;时前两步整合调度计入了预估的紧急调度随机信息.随机信息主要考虑风电出力,并作为模型中的随机变量.通过定义线路阻塞条件风险(conditional value at risk,CVaR)值,将线路安全约束转化为线路阻塞风险限制约束,实现线路阻塞的风险限制调度.仿真结果表明:线路阻塞CVaR值的限值与置信水平两个值取值合理时,多步整合调度与传统的日前、时前、紧急三步调度相比运行成本较低;当前值限定在一定水平时,后值越大,多步整合调度的成本越高;后值一定时,前值越大,多步整合调度的成本越低.线路阻塞风险限制的多步整合调度模型是解决电力系统智能运行中风险限制调度的有效途径.
針對國際學界提齣的電網智能運行中風險限製調度的框架,新建攷慮線路阻塞的風險限製調度多步整閤模型,包括日前三步整閤調度模型、時前兩步整閤調度模型和緊急調度模型.日前三步整閤調度是在日前調度中計入預估的時前、緊急調度的隨機信息;時前兩步整閤調度計入瞭預估的緊急調度隨機信息.隨機信息主要攷慮風電齣力,併作為模型中的隨機變量.通過定義線路阻塞條件風險(conditional value at risk,CVaR)值,將線路安全約束轉化為線路阻塞風險限製約束,實現線路阻塞的風險限製調度.倣真結果錶明:線路阻塞CVaR值的限值與置信水平兩箇值取值閤理時,多步整閤調度與傳統的日前、時前、緊急三步調度相比運行成本較低;噹前值限定在一定水平時,後值越大,多步整閤調度的成本越高;後值一定時,前值越大,多步整閤調度的成本越低.線路阻塞風險限製的多步整閤調度模型是解決電力繫統智能運行中風險限製調度的有效途徑.
침대국제학계제출적전망지능운행중풍험한제조도적광가,신건고필선로조새적풍험한제조도다보정합모형,포괄일전삼보정합조도모형、시전량보정합조도모형화긴급조도모형.일전삼보정합조도시재일전조도중계입예고적시전、긴급조도적수궤신식;시전량보정합조도계입료예고적긴급조도수궤신식.수궤신식주요고필풍전출력,병작위모형중적수궤변량.통과정의선로조새조건풍험(conditional value at risk,CVaR)치,장선로안전약속전화위선로조새풍험한제약속,실현선로조새적풍험한제조도.방진결과표명:선로조새CVaR치적한치여치신수평량개치취치합리시,다보정합조도여전통적일전、시전、긴급삼보조도상비운행성본교저;당전치한정재일정수평시,후치월대,다보정합조도적성본월고;후치일정시,전치월대,다보정합조도적성본월저.선로조새풍험한제적다보정합조도모형시해결전력계통지능운행중풍험한제조도적유효도경.
Multi-step integration models for risk-limiting dispatch of line congestion in power system were firstly built in the paper based on the risk-limiting dispatch frame of grid smart operation proposed by international academic. The multi-step integration dispatch models consist of three steps integration day ahead dispatch model, two steps integration hour ahead dispatch model and emergency dispatch model. Estimated random information of the hour ahead and emergency state is included in the day ahead dispatch model, which forms the three steps integration day ahead dispatch one, etc. Wind power is treated as main random information in the paper and as random variable in the model. The line security constraints are transformed into line congestion risk-limiting constraints by means of the conditional value at risk (CVaR). Then it is named the line congestion risk-limiting dispatch. The simulation results show that the operating total cost of multi-step integration dispatch models is lower than traditional three steps dispatch's under both of advisable limit value for line congestion CVaR and the confidence level. The higher the confidence level, or the tighter the limit for line congestion CVaR is, the higher the operating cost. The novel multi-step integration dispatch model for line congestion risk-limiting is effective to solve the risk-limiting dispatch in the smart operation of power system.