浙江师范大学学报(社会科学版)
浙江師範大學學報(社會科學版)
절강사범대학학보(사회과학판)
Journal of Zhejiang Normal University (Social Sciences)
2015年
5期
79-86
,共8页
产业结构%经济增长%格兰杰因果检验%协整分析
產業結構%經濟增長%格蘭傑因果檢驗%協整分析
산업결구%경제증장%격란걸인과검험%협정분석
industrial structure%economic growth%granger-causality test%co-integration analysis
改革开放以来,随着经济体制的转变,我国产业结构也发生了变化。虽然国内诸多学者对产业结构与经济增长之间的关系从理论和实证上都有研究,但至今没有统一的结论。而且,大多数学者并未考虑制度变化对产业结构与经济增长关系的影响。改革开放后,我国经济体制经历了从有计划的商品经济向社会主义市场经济转变的过程,这两个时期对该问题研究的影响是不同的。文章通过虚拟变量把制度因素引入到模型当中,以金华地区为例,对产业结构与经济增长关系作了实证分析,以期探求其三次产业间的关系及与地区经济的增长关系。
改革開放以來,隨著經濟體製的轉變,我國產業結構也髮生瞭變化。雖然國內諸多學者對產業結構與經濟增長之間的關繫從理論和實證上都有研究,但至今沒有統一的結論。而且,大多數學者併未攷慮製度變化對產業結構與經濟增長關繫的影響。改革開放後,我國經濟體製經歷瞭從有計劃的商品經濟嚮社會主義市場經濟轉變的過程,這兩箇時期對該問題研究的影響是不同的。文章通過虛擬變量把製度因素引入到模型噹中,以金華地區為例,對產業結構與經濟增長關繫作瞭實證分析,以期探求其三次產業間的關繫及與地區經濟的增長關繫。
개혁개방이래,수착경제체제적전변,아국산업결구야발생료변화。수연국내제다학자대산업결구여경제증장지간적관계종이론화실증상도유연구,단지금몰유통일적결론。이차,대다수학자병미고필제도변화대산업결구여경제증장관계적영향。개혁개방후,아국경제체제경력료종유계화적상품경제향사회주의시장경제전변적과정,저량개시기대해문제연구적영향시불동적。문장통과허의변량파제도인소인입도모형당중,이금화지구위례,대산업결구여경제증장관계작료실증분석,이기탐구기삼차산업간적관계급여지구경제적증장관계。
China has witnessed great changes in industrial structure with the transformation of economic system since its reform and opening up. Although many studies concerning the relationship between industrial structure and economic growth from theoretical and empirical perspectives have been done by domestic schol-ars,consensus has not been reached so far. Most scholars do not take into account the impact of institutional changes on the relationship between industrial structure and economic growth. But after China’s reform and o-pening up,our economic system has experienced changes from the planned commodity economic system to a socialist market-oriented economy,which has impacted differently on the issue. Therefore,this paper attemp-ted to bring institutional factor into model by using virtual variable,and made empirical analysis of the rela-tionship between industrial structure and economic growth with Jinhua as an example so as to explore the rela-tionships among three industries and the relationships between three industries and regional economic growth.