交通运输系统工程与信息
交通運輸繫統工程與信息
교통운수계통공정여신식
Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology
2015年
5期
32-38
,共7页
宋京妮%吴群琪%孙启鹏%包旭%杜凯
宋京妮%吳群琪%孫啟鵬%包旭%杜凱
송경니%오군기%손계붕%포욱%두개
综合交通运输%运输效率测度%SBM-undesirable模型%运输系统%非期望产出
綜閤交通運輸%運輸效率測度%SBM-undesirable模型%運輸繫統%非期望產齣
종합교통운수%운수효솔측도%SBM-undesirable모형%운수계통%비기망산출
integrated transportation%transport efficiency measure%SBM-undesirable model%transport system%undesirable output
综合运输效率高低是衡量运输结构是否合理、方式间是否协调的重要依据.引入SBM-undesirable模型,基于时序演变,系统分析了1979~2012年中国的综合运输效率,并对投入产出要素作定量调整.结果表明,非期望产出对综合运输效率具有显著负影响;1979~2012年中国的综合运输效率呈"凹"字形波动,均值为0.68,其中1999年效率值最低,不及均值一半;从分解效率看,综合运输效率同时受纯技术效率与规模效率的双重影响,且纯技术效率的制约力略强于规模效率,整体呈"综合效率≤纯技术效率≤规模效率";运输从业人员、铁路机车拥有量及死亡人数是影响综合运输效率的前三个重要因素.因此,调整运输资源结构、减少非期望产出和提高技术效率是提升综合运输效率的现实途径.
綜閤運輸效率高低是衡量運輸結構是否閤理、方式間是否協調的重要依據.引入SBM-undesirable模型,基于時序縯變,繫統分析瞭1979~2012年中國的綜閤運輸效率,併對投入產齣要素作定量調整.結果錶明,非期望產齣對綜閤運輸效率具有顯著負影響;1979~2012年中國的綜閤運輸效率呈"凹"字形波動,均值為0.68,其中1999年效率值最低,不及均值一半;從分解效率看,綜閤運輸效率同時受純技術效率與規模效率的雙重影響,且純技術效率的製約力略彊于規模效率,整體呈"綜閤效率≤純技術效率≤規模效率";運輸從業人員、鐵路機車擁有量及死亡人數是影響綜閤運輸效率的前三箇重要因素.因此,調整運輸資源結構、減少非期望產齣和提高技術效率是提升綜閤運輸效率的現實途徑.
종합운수효솔고저시형량운수결구시부합리、방식간시부협조적중요의거.인입SBM-undesirable모형,기우시서연변,계통분석료1979~2012년중국적종합운수효솔,병대투입산출요소작정량조정.결과표명,비기망산출대종합운수효솔구유현저부영향;1979~2012년중국적종합운수효솔정"요"자형파동,균치위0.68,기중1999년효솔치최저,불급균치일반;종분해효솔간,종합운수효솔동시수순기술효솔여규모효솔적쌍중영향,차순기술효솔적제약력략강우규모효솔,정체정"종합효솔≤순기술효솔≤규모효솔";운수종업인원、철로궤차옹유량급사망인수시영향종합운수효솔적전삼개중요인소.인차,조정운수자원결구、감소비기망산출화제고기술효솔시제승종합운수효솔적현실도경.
Integrated transportation efficiency is an important index for evaluating transport structure and coordination state. This paper gives a systematic analysis on integrated transportation efficiency in China from 1979 to 2012 based on the temporal evolution by introducing SBM-undesirable. A quantitative adjustment is made on i-o elements. Results show that:Undesirable output has a significant negative impact on transport efficiency; Integrated efficiency from 1979 to 2012 is concave-shape fluctuation, wherein the average value is 0.68 and the lowest efficiency in 1999 is less than half the average;From the decomposition efficiency perspective, integrated efficiency is affected by pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency simultaneously, where constraints force of pure technical efficiency is stronger, i.e.,"overall efficiency≤pure technical efficiency ≤scale efficiency"; Transport staffs, locomotive ownership and death toll are the three main factors affecting transport efficiency. Therefore, adjusting transport resource structure, reducing undesirable output and improving technical efficiency is the realistic path to improve transport efficiency.