CAJ | 학술논문

基于中国综合社会调查(CGSS2010)的数据,利用Logistic回归模型检视了当前中国城乡基层民主选举中的投票参与行为的影响因素.结果表明:城乡差别、年龄、性别、受教育程度、政治身份、政治关注度和政府信任等变量与居民的投票参与行为显著相关.社会经济地位模型并不适用于中国城乡基层民主选举.同时指出从两个方面促进基层民主选举中居民的投票参与:一是依托党员和积极分子进行有效的政治动员,同时提升居民的政治关注度;二是加快基层政府治理体制改革,提升居民对基层政府的政治信任.
기우중국종합사회조사(CGSS2010)적수거,이용Logistic회귀모형검시료당전중국성향기층민주선거중적투표삼여행위적영향인소.결과표명:성향차별、년령、성별、수교육정도、정치신빈、정치관주도화정부신임등변량여거민적투표삼여행위현저상관.사회경제지위모형병불괄용우중국성향기층민주선거.동시지출종량개방면촉진기층민주선거중거민적투표삼여:일시의탁당원화적겁분자진행유효적정치동원,동시제승거민적정치관주도;이시가쾌기층정부치리체제개혁,제승거민대기층정부적정치신임.
Based on the data of CGSS2010, this paper examined factors in voting participation in Chinese democratic election at the grassroots level by applying a logistic regression model. The results showed that the variables such as the differences between urban and rural areas, age, gender, education, political identity, political attention and trust in government maintained a positive correlation with residents' voting participation. The Social Economic Status Model did not fit the situation of Chinese grassroots election. To promote the voting participation, this paper proposed that CPC party members and activists be effective in political mobilization and enhance resident's attention. The reform of the governance mechanism of grass-roots government must be accelerated to enhance resident's political trust in local governments.