职业技术教育
職業技術教育
직업기술교육
Vocational and Technical Education
2015年
21期
30-33
,共4页
高职教育%区域产业%协整检验%误差修正模型%格兰杰因果检验
高職教育%區域產業%協整檢驗%誤差脩正模型%格蘭傑因果檢驗
고직교육%구역산업%협정검험%오차수정모형%격란걸인과검험
higher vocational education%regional industry%co-integration test%error correction model%Granger causality test
基于唐山市高等职业教育专业设置、实际招生录取人数与区域产业的协同性以及与产业内部结构的匹配度方面的数据，运用EG协整检验方法证明唐山市高等职业教育和区域产业发展存在长期均衡关系，并通过建立误差修正模型发现高职教育规模的变动对区域产业结构调整的短期促进效用并不显著。通过格兰杰因果检验结果，表明唐山市高等职业教育是区域产业发展的格兰杰原因。
基于唐山市高等職業教育專業設置、實際招生錄取人數與區域產業的協同性以及與產業內部結構的匹配度方麵的數據，運用EG協整檢驗方法證明唐山市高等職業教育和區域產業髮展存在長期均衡關繫，併通過建立誤差脩正模型髮現高職教育規模的變動對區域產業結構調整的短期促進效用併不顯著。通過格蘭傑因果檢驗結果，錶明唐山市高等職業教育是區域產業髮展的格蘭傑原因。
기우당산시고등직업교육전업설치、실제초생록취인수여구역산업적협동성이급여산업내부결구적필배도방면적수거，운용EG협정검험방법증명당산시고등직업교육화구역산업발전존재장기균형관계，병통과건립오차수정모형발현고직교육규모적변동대구역산업결구조정적단기촉진효용병불현저。통과격란걸인과검험결과，표명당산시고등직업교육시구역산업발전적격란걸원인。
This paper analyzes the coordination and matching of internal structure between specialty setting, enrollment and regional industry in Tangshan. Based on the theoretical analysis and the data from 2004 to 2013, the influence of the higher vocational education affecting on regional industry development in Tangshan are respectively analyzed with the method of co-integration test, error correction model, Granger causality test. The research findings indicated that, in Tangshan city, there is a co-integrated relationship between the higher vocational education and the industry development; the short-term promotion effect of higher vocational education scale is not significant to the industrial restructuring; and the higher vocational education scale does Granger cause the industrial restructuring.
