CAJ | 학술논문

基于DEA－Malmquist生产率指数法和LMDI分解法，量化技术进步对能源效率的影响作用，进而构建回弹效应测算的改进模型，实证测算1995—2012年西部地区能源消费回弹效应的变化趋势。结果表明，西部地区能源回弹效应总体呈现逐渐下降趋势。其中，广义技术进步计算的回弹效应为37％，狭义技术进步计算的回弹效应为52％，技术效率改进和产业结构调整计算的回弹效应缺乏规律。西部经济发展相对较好的省份能源回弹效应呈现增加趋势。西部地区制定能源政策的重心应向提高技术效率和产业结构调整方向倾斜。
기우DEA－Malmquist생산솔지수법화LMDI분해법，양화기술진보대능원효솔적영향작용，진이구건회탄효응측산적개진모형，실증측산1995—2012년서부지구능원소비회탄효응적변화추세。결과표명，서부지구능원회탄효응총체정현축점하강추세。기중，엄의기술진보계산적회탄효응위37％，협의기술진보계산적회탄효응위52％，기술효솔개진화산업결구조정계산적회탄효응결핍규률。서부경제발전상대교호적성빈능원회탄효응정현증가추세。서부지구제정능원정책적중심응향제고기술효솔화산업결구조정방향경사。
DEA-Malmquist productivity index method and LMDI decomposition method are adopted to quantify the influences of techno-logical progress over energy efficiency.Thus it builds the improvement model for rebound effect calculation and predicts the trends of changes in the energy consumption rebound effects of western region from 1995 to 2012.The outcome shows that the energy rebound effects take on a gradual downward trend.The rebound effect of technological progress is 37%, the rebound effect of narrow technologi-cal progress is 52%.Provinces with better economic development show the trend of increasing energy rebound effects.The energy poli-cies formulated should focus on improvement of technological efficiency and industrial structure adjustment.