电网技术
電網技術
전망기술
Power System Technology
2015年
11期
3064-3071
,共8页
徐鸣飞%余海涛%陈辉%王亚鲁%沈蛟骁%胡敏强%黄磊%陆增洁
徐鳴飛%餘海濤%陳輝%王亞魯%瀋蛟驍%鬍敏彊%黃磊%陸增潔
서명비%여해도%진휘%왕아로%침교효%호민강%황뢰%륙증길
能源互联网%重复博弈%纳什均衡%无名氏定理%模糊综合评价
能源互聯網%重複博弈%納什均衡%無名氏定理%模糊綜閤評價
능원호련망%중복박혁%납십균형%무명씨정리%모호종합평개
energy internet%repeated game theory%Nash equilibrium%anonymous theorem%fuzzy comprehensive evaluation
以“工业4.0”下能源互联网的电力运营交易机制为出发点,研究了能源互联网在长期运营中各能源发电商的发电量博弈问题。先引入了研究完全信息动态博弈问题的理论—可观察行动的重复博弈模型;在该模型的基础上,建立了化石能源和清洁能源发电商的博弈模型;接着引进无名氏定理来说明重复博弈的纳什均衡解的存在性。最后,以运营交易流程为依据,进行了算例分析,得出了化石能源和清洁能源在2014—2044年发电量的博弈结果,并进行了对2种能源博弈结果的模糊综合评价。
以“工業4.0”下能源互聯網的電力運營交易機製為齣髮點,研究瞭能源互聯網在長期運營中各能源髮電商的髮電量博弈問題。先引入瞭研究完全信息動態博弈問題的理論—可觀察行動的重複博弈模型;在該模型的基礎上,建立瞭化石能源和清潔能源髮電商的博弈模型;接著引進無名氏定理來說明重複博弈的納什均衡解的存在性。最後,以運營交易流程為依據,進行瞭算例分析,得齣瞭化石能源和清潔能源在2014—2044年髮電量的博弈結果,併進行瞭對2種能源博弈結果的模糊綜閤評價。
이“공업4.0”하능원호련망적전력운영교역궤제위출발점,연구료능원호련망재장기운영중각능원발전상적발전량박혁문제。선인입료연구완전신식동태박혁문제적이론—가관찰행동적중복박혁모형;재해모형적기출상,건립료화석능원화청길능원발전상적박혁모형;접착인진무명씨정리래설명중복박혁적납십균형해적존재성。최후,이운영교역류정위의거,진행료산례분석,득출료화석능원화청길능원재2014—2044년발전량적박혁결과,병진행료대2충능원박혁결과적모호종합평개。
This paper aims to solve power transaction mechanism problem for energy internet in industrial 4.0 era background, and electricity generation amount for individual power producers wasinvestigated for long term operation in energy internet. Firstly, complete information dynamic game theory, i.e. repeated game modelofobservable action was presented. Based on this model, game model of fossil energy and clean energy producers was established. Then existence of Nash equilibrium of repeated game was proved with an anonymous theorem. Finally, on basis of transaction process chart, example analysis was performed; power generation amount of fossil energy and clean energy between 2014 and 2044 was obtained. Finally, fuzzy comprehensive evaluation for game results of fossil energy and clean energy was performed.