CAJ | 학술논문

突发事件下，及时有效的应急决策是减少伤亡与损失的关键。然而突发事件所致的决策者情绪难免影响其应急决策行为，对突发事件的处置决策过程造成偏差或失误。本研究基于行为决策研究范式，建立决策者情绪影响应急决策全过程的理论框架模型，详细分析情绪对应急决策中线索搜寻、线索评估、备选方案形成、主观概率、风险后果感知、风险偏好、方案选择和决策结果等环节的影响，以及决策任务特征、环境特征和决策者特征对决策者情绪的影响作用。以期对突发事件应急处置过程中决策者行为和情绪管理提供理论参考。
돌발사건하，급시유효적응급결책시감소상망여손실적관건。연이돌발사건소치적결책자정서난면영향기응급결책행위，대돌발사건적처치결책과정조성편차혹실오。본연구기우행위결책연구범식，건립결책자정서영향응급결책전과정적이론광가모형，상세분석정서대응급결책중선색수심、선색평고、비선방안형성、주관개솔、풍험후과감지、풍험편호、방안선택화결책결과등배절적영향，이급결책임무특정、배경특정화결책자특정대결책자정서적영향작용。이기대돌발사건응급처치과정중결책자행위화정서관리제공이론삼고。
Timely and effective emergency decision-making is the key to reduce the casualties and losses caused by the emergency. How-ever, emergency decision-making will be inevitably affected by the emergency decision-maker’s emotion, which may lead to serious de-cision failures in the emergency. This study firstly established the theoretical framework model of how the decision-maker's emotion may affect the emergency decision-making based on the behavioral decision-making paradigm. Secondly, it was analyzed and discussed in de-tail the impact of emotion on the subjective probability, risk perception, risk preference, clues searching, clues assessing, alternative scheme formation, scheme choosing and decision-making results during the decision-making process in the model. Moreover, it was also investigated how the decision-maker’s emotion was affected by environment characteristics, characteristics of decision-making task and the decision-maker characteristics in emergency decision-making. It is hoped to be a reference for the behavior and emotion management of emergency decision-makers.