CAJ | 학술논문

文章构建了一个政治市场模型，从理论上解释了中国环境政策的形成是以污染行业联盟、污染地居民组织和环保民间组织等利益集团为需求方构成的总需求和以政府为供给方构成的总供给达到均衡的内生结果。在此基础上，利用中国29个省市1985－2010年的面板数据，分别在环境规制外生性和内生性的假设条件下进行分析，结果表明中国环境政策具有明显的内生性，而且在内生性下环境规制强度影响净进口额的系数及显著性明显提高。中国的环境政策确实充当着“次优”贸易壁垒，且环境规制与贸易流之间存在双向影响，环境规制加强会导致净进口水平上升，而净进口额增加又会使环境规制放松。
문장구건료일개정치시장모형，종이론상해석료중국배경정책적형성시이오염행업련맹、오염지거민조직화배보민간조직등이익집단위수구방구성적총수구화이정부위공급방구성적총공급체도균형적내생결과。재차기출상，이용중국29개성시1985－2010년적면판수거，분별재배경규제외생성화내생성적가설조건하진행분석，결과표명중국배경정책구유명현적내생성，이차재내생성하배경규제강도영향정진구액적계수급현저성명현제고。중국적배경정책학실충당착“차우”무역벽루，차배경규제여무역류지간존재쌍향영향，배경규제가강회도치정진구수평상승，이정진구액증가우회사배경규제방송。
This paper builds a political market model to explain in theory that the formation of China’s envi‐ronmental policy is the endogenous equilibrium outcome when the aggregate demand for environmental pol‐icy consisted of individual demand by pollution industry alliances ,local resident organizations and environ‐mental NGOs equals to the aggregate supply for environmental policy consisted of the government .On this basis ,we use the panel data of China’s 29 provinces and cities from 1985-2010 to perform empirical analy‐sis in the case of exogenous and endogenous environmental regulation respectively .The results show that the environmental policy in China is significantly endogenous and the coefficient and significance of the effect of environmental regulation on net imports increase explicitly in the case of endogenous environmen‐tal regulation .Our empirical analysis also reveals that the environmental policy in China is indeed a second‐ary trade barrier and there are mutual influence relations between environmental regulation and trade flows ,namely that strict environmental regulation will lead to increase net import levels and increased net import levels will result in relax environmental policy in turn .