水利水电科技进展
水利水電科技進展
수이수전과기진전
Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources
2015年
6期
7-12,19
,共7页
水利发展历程%水资源%水环境%水生态%水灾害%评价指标%评价体系
水利髮展歷程%水資源%水環境%水生態%水災害%評價指標%評價體繫
수리발전역정%수자원%수배경%수생태%수재해%평개지표%평개체계
water conservancy development process%water resources%water environment%water ecology%water disaster%evaluation index%evaluation system
在系统分析社会经济发展与水利发展之间的互动机理、探讨水利发展的历程演变及其特征表现的基础上,从水资源利用、水环境保护、水生态修复以及水灾害防治4个维度,系统设计了水利发展进程评价指标体系,评估了我国水利发展目标综合实现程度,全面剖析了我国水利发展进程中存在的主要问题。结果表明,2010年水利发展目标综合实现程度为45%,处于自然水生态赤字开始缩小期；预计水利发展目标综合实现程度在2015年末提高到63%,2030年提高到92%,实现局部自然水生态盈余；2050年我国将进入全面自然水生态盈余期,实现人水和谐,全面建成水利现代化。
在繫統分析社會經濟髮展與水利髮展之間的互動機理、探討水利髮展的歷程縯變及其特徵錶現的基礎上,從水資源利用、水環境保護、水生態脩複以及水災害防治4箇維度,繫統設計瞭水利髮展進程評價指標體繫,評估瞭我國水利髮展目標綜閤實現程度,全麵剖析瞭我國水利髮展進程中存在的主要問題。結果錶明,2010年水利髮展目標綜閤實現程度為45%,處于自然水生態赤字開始縮小期；預計水利髮展目標綜閤實現程度在2015年末提高到63%,2030年提高到92%,實現跼部自然水生態盈餘；2050年我國將進入全麵自然水生態盈餘期,實現人水和諧,全麵建成水利現代化。
재계통분석사회경제발전여수리발전지간적호동궤리、탐토수리발전적역정연변급기특정표현적기출상,종수자원이용、수배경보호、수생태수복이급수재해방치4개유도,계통설계료수리발전진정평개지표체계,평고료아국수리발전목표종합실현정도,전면부석료아국수리발전진정중존재적주요문제。결과표명,2010년수리발전목표종합실현정도위45%,처우자연수생태적자개시축소기；예계수리발전목표종합실현정도재2015년말제고도63%,2030년제고도92%,실현국부자연수생태영여；2050년아국장진입전면자연수생태영여기,실현인수화해,전면건성수리현대화。
Based on systematic analysis of the mechanisms of interaction between socioeconomic development and water conservancy development, as well as on the evolution and characteristics of water conservancy development, an evaluation index system for water conservancy development was designed systematically from four perspectives, including water resources utilization, water environment protection, water ecological restoration, and water disaster prevention. The integrated implementation degree of water conservancy development ’ s objectives in China is evaluated, and the main existing problems during the water conservancy development process are investigated comprehensively. The results show that the comprehensive implementation degree of water conservancy development’s objectives was 45% in 2010, indicating that the natural water ecological deficit has begun shrink;that the forecasted comprehensive implementation degrees are 63% for 2015 and 92% for 2030, indicating that the local natural water ecological remainder will have begun to appear;and that the overall natural water ecological remainder will be realized in 2050, a human-water balance will be achieved, and water conservancy modernization will be realized.
