气象科技进展
氣象科技進展
기상과기진전
Advances in Meteorological Science and Technology
2015年
5期
50-54
,共5页
孙大利%刘晓阳%王久珂%何思远
孫大利%劉曉暘%王久珂%何思遠
손대리%류효양%왕구가%하사원
雨量站网%规划%抽站法
雨量站網%規劃%抽站法
우량참망%규화%추참법
rain-gauge networks%design%reducing the rain-gauge stations method
抽站法和经验公式法是目前比较常用的两种雨量站网规划方法,这两种方法最终可以确定允许误差和布站精度之间的关系,但允许误差实际上是相对偏差,真正的允许误差应当是相对偏差与现有最密雨量站网测量误差的累加,而现有最密雨量站网的测量精度目前无法进行评估。针对这一问题,本文把独立同分布中心极限定理引入雨量站网的规划,通过对模拟降水场的分析计算,可以对现有最密雨量站网的面雨量测量精度进行评估。利用安徽省2005—2008年梅雨季节降水数据,统计得出安徽省现有雨量站网面雨量的测量误差在平原和山区分别约为6%~10%和8%~-13%。
抽站法和經驗公式法是目前比較常用的兩種雨量站網規劃方法,這兩種方法最終可以確定允許誤差和佈站精度之間的關繫,但允許誤差實際上是相對偏差,真正的允許誤差應噹是相對偏差與現有最密雨量站網測量誤差的纍加,而現有最密雨量站網的測量精度目前無法進行評估。針對這一問題,本文把獨立同分佈中心極限定理引入雨量站網的規劃,通過對模擬降水場的分析計算,可以對現有最密雨量站網的麵雨量測量精度進行評估。利用安徽省2005—2008年梅雨季節降水數據,統計得齣安徽省現有雨量站網麵雨量的測量誤差在平原和山區分彆約為6%~10%和8%~-13%。
추참법화경험공식법시목전비교상용적량충우량참망규화방법,저량충방법최종가이학정윤허오차화포참정도지간적관계,단윤허오차실제상시상대편차,진정적윤허오차응당시상대편차여현유최밀우량참망측량오차적루가,이현유최밀우량참망적측량정도목전무법진행평고。침대저일문제,본문파독립동분포중심겁한정리인입우량참망적규화,통과대모의강수장적분석계산,가이대현유최밀우량참망적면우량측량정도진행평고。이용안휘성2005—2008년매우계절강수수거,통계득출안휘성현유우량참망면우량적측량오차재평원화산구분별약위6%~10%화8%~-13%。
Reducing the rain-gauge Stations Method and Formula Method is more and more commonly used to design rain-gauge networks. The relationship between relative error (permissible error) of a real rainfall and Rain-gauge networks density can be determined by them. In fact, relative permissible error is relative deviation, The real permissible error is the sum of relative deviation and relative error of the most densely Rain-gauge networks, and it cannot be assessed currently. To solve this problem, a method is obtained from Levy-Lindeberg Theorem theoretically. Based on simulated rainfall ifelds and high-density rainfall data during Meiyu season in Anhui Province, the measurement precision of the most densely rain-gauge networks is assessed by the Method. We calculated 2005-2008 rainfall data during Meiyu season in Anhui Province and concluded that relative error of the most densely rain-gauge networks is 6%-10% in Huaibei Plain , 8%--13% in the mountains of southern Anhui Province.