工业技术经济
工業技術經濟
공업기술경제
Industrial Technology & Economy
2015年
10期
59-68
,共10页
丝绸之路%经济带%经济全要素生产率%Malmquist-DEA%主成分分析%技术效率%技术进步
絲綢之路%經濟帶%經濟全要素生產率%Malmquist-DEA%主成分分析%技術效率%技術進步
사주지로%경제대%경제전요소생산솔%Malmquist-DEA%주성분분석%기술효솔%기술진보
Silk-road%Economic Belt%total factor productivity%Malmquist-DEA model%principal component analysis%tech-nical efficiency%technological progress
文章从金融的角度出发,应用主成分分析法,从经济带上9个省份1999~2013年间的19项金融指标数据中综合出了投入产出变量,客观地探究了丝绸之路经济带上的全要素生产率.研究表明:2008年之前的综合技术效率变动对TFP变动起主导作用,2008年之后的技术进步成为了促进各个省份金融发展的决定性因素.综合技术效率较低导致西北省区的金融效率整体上略逊于西南省区.
文章從金融的角度齣髮,應用主成分分析法,從經濟帶上9箇省份1999~2013年間的19項金融指標數據中綜閤齣瞭投入產齣變量,客觀地探究瞭絲綢之路經濟帶上的全要素生產率.研究錶明:2008年之前的綜閤技術效率變動對TFP變動起主導作用,2008年之後的技術進步成為瞭促進各箇省份金融髮展的決定性因素.綜閤技術效率較低導緻西北省區的金融效率整體上略遜于西南省區.
문장종금융적각도출발,응용주성분분석법,종경제대상9개성빈1999~2013년간적19항금융지표수거중종합출료투입산출변량,객관지탐구료사주지로경제대상적전요소생산솔.연구표명:2008년지전적종합기술효솔변동대TFP변동기주도작용,2008년지후적기술진보성위료촉진각개성빈금융발전적결정성인소.종합기술효솔교저도치서북성구적금융효솔정체상략손우서남성구.
The revival of the Silk Road Economic Zone,depends on the understanding of the main provinces of the economic and fi-nancial development "past and present",based on this conception,starting from the financial point of view,based on 19 economic and financial index data from nine provinces in the period of 1999-2013,through principal component analysis extracted two input variables and one output variable,and then using the Malmquist-DEA to measure main provinces economy total factor productivity.The research shows that in 2008 as a watershed,the comprehensive technical efficiency change plays a leading role of TFP changes before 2008,and technological progress has become the decisive factor to promote the financial and economic development of each province after 2008.There is a convergence of similarity two provinces in economic development,but the difference is the lower of the comprehensive technical effi-ciency in the northwest provinces lead to economic and financial efficiency is inferior to the southwest provinces.Finally,the paper puts forward three policy recommendations:accelerate the pace of financial innovation,improve the traditional financial services,and gradually improve the quality of financial assets.