CAJ | 학술논문

通过对理论和现实的考察，东亚地区国际秩序的最佳模式仍然是霸权稳定模式。既有的文献仅关注了霸权国在经济和安全领域的能力，忽视了对国家意志的论述，将霸权稳定的分析模式从二元结构推向三重螺旋结构，即霸权稳定模式需要建立经济、安全和意志三方面互为因果的关系。从实践层面看，在霸权国整体实力和国家意志没有下降的情况下，单一型国家单方面供给公共产品，将会导致地区秩序的不稳定。崛起国如果想和平崛起，必须实行经济、安全和意识形态（由崛起国国家意志演化而来的国际制度）的同时供给，实行国际公共产品的三重螺旋，才能实现霸权转移。
통과대이론화현실적고찰，동아지구국제질서적최가모식잉연시패권은정모식。기유적문헌부관주료패권국재경제화안전영역적능력，홀시료대국가의지적논술，장패권은정적분석모식종이원결구추향삼중라선결구，즉패권은정모식수요건립경제、안전화의지삼방면호위인과적관계。종실천층면간，재패권국정체실력화국가의지몰유하강적정황하，단일형국가단방면공급공공산품，장회도치지구질서적불은정。굴기국여과상화평굴기，필수실행경제、안전화의식형태（유굴기국국가의지연화이래적국제제도）적동시공급，실행국제공공산품적삼중라선，재능실현패권전이。
By an examination of the theory and reality, it is found that the international order in East Asia is still in the mode of stable hegemony. But the existing literature tends to accept the mode from dualistic structure to triple spiral pattern, i.e. the stable hegemony needs to be built on the reciprocal causation relationship among economy, safety and state will. In reality, the supply of pubic goods by a single country will lead to the unstable regional order as long as the hegemonic powers remain the same overall strength and state will. The developing countries must develop simultaneously in economy, safety and state will, thus forming a triple spiral pattern in the supply of public goods. Only by doing so can the hegemony be changed.