CAJ | 학술논문

保障性住房建设需要巨大的资金支持，但这项工程到底需要多少资金投入，由于测算依据和方法存在争议，目前尚无准确的量化数据。本文考虑长期、短期保障房动态需求因素的差异，短期将家庭户规模与保障房面积大小相对应，测算“十二五”期间保障房资金需求量；长期将人口增长、通货膨胀等因素纳入量化模型，运用“月供－收入法”细化保障对象数量，采取“政府补贴差值”法测算保障房资金需求净值，得到北京未来30年保障房建设资金需求的量化数值。根据本文测算结果，北京保障房建设存在巨大的资金缺口。
보장성주방건설수요거대적자금지지，단저항공정도저수요다소자금투입，유우측산의거화방법존재쟁의，목전상무준학적양화수거。본문고필장기、단기보장방동태수구인소적차이，단기장가정호규모여보장방면적대소상대응，측산“십이오”기간보장방자금수구량；장기장인구증장、통화팽창등인소납입양화모형，운용“월공－수입법”세화보장대상수량，채취“정부보첩차치”법측산보장방자금수구정치，득도북경미래30년보장방건설자금수구적양화수치。근거본문측산결과，북경보장방건설존재거대적자금결구。
As an important livelihood project,indemnificatory housing needs a lot of funds.However,there is still no accurate quantitative data,because the measurement basis and method are controversial.In this paper,the different dynamic demand factors between long and short-term are considered.For the period of 12th five-year plan part,the specific amount is measured and calculated by taking both the family scale and the size of indemnificatory housing into consideration.And in regards to the next 30 years,the demand of money is dynamically quantified by considering population growth,inflation etc,the quantity of security objects is refined with the method of the“monthly installment payment-income”,and the perspective of “government subsidies difference”is selected to measure and calculate the net demand of funding of indemnificatory housing.Compared with the finished value of investment,there is still a large financing gap.