CAJ | 학술논문

利用11个新兴经济体国家1990~2009年的平衡面板数据，检验了新常态对经济增长与环境污染关系的影响。研究发现：新兴经济体国家的经济增长与环境污染之间呈倒N型关系；而伴随着经济增速的不断调整，倒N型曲线的拐点会发生移动；经济增速越低，拐点处对应的人均GDP越少，说明经济增速的放缓会使拐点提前到来。拐点的提前意味着我国可能会提早迎来随着人均GDP的提高，环境污染加速降低的福利时代。
이용11개신흥경제체국가1990~2009년적평형면판수거，검험료신상태대경제증장여배경오염관계적영향。연구발현：신흥경제체국가적경제증장여배경오염지간정도N형관계；이반수착경제증속적불단조정，도N형곡선적괴점회발생이동；경제증속월저，괴점처대응적인균GDP월소，설명경제증속적방완회사괴점제전도래。괴점적제전의미착아국가능회제조영래수착인균GDP적제고，배경오염가속강저적복리시대。
Using panel data of 11 emerging economies from 1990 to 2009, this paper analyzed the relationship between eco-nomic growth and pollutant emission under “new normal” of Chinese economy. It was found that, there was an inverted N curve between per capital GDP and pollutant emission. If the economic growth rate changed, the inflection point for inverted N curve would also changes. The lower economic growth rate was, per capital GDP of inflection point was lower, which meant that the inflection point for EKC would ahead of the arrival. It meant that, China would enter into the welfare era when the increasing of per capital GDP would cause the reduction of pollutant emission earlier.