西北水电
西北水電
서북수전
Northwest Water Power
2015年
5期
86-89
,共4页
风力发电%EPC 模式%模糊综合评价%风险分析
風力髮電%EPC 模式%模糊綜閤評價%風險分析
풍력발전%EPC 모식%모호종합평개%풍험분석
wind power%EPC mode%fuzzy comprehensive assessment%risk analysis
针对总承包(EPC)风电项目可能存在的风险,提出了基于模糊综合评价理论的风险评价方法。在总结分析 EPC 风电项目各风险因素的基础上,结合案例分析将模糊综合评价法运用到风险评价研究中,根据模糊隶属度理论把定性评价转化为定量评价,从而实现对 EPC 风电项目的风险进行量化评价,对加强风险防范和控制具有一定指导意义。
針對總承包(EPC)風電項目可能存在的風險,提齣瞭基于模糊綜閤評價理論的風險評價方法。在總結分析 EPC 風電項目各風險因素的基礎上,結閤案例分析將模糊綜閤評價法運用到風險評價研究中,根據模糊隸屬度理論把定性評價轉化為定量評價,從而實現對 EPC 風電項目的風險進行量化評價,對加彊風險防範和控製具有一定指導意義。
침대총승포(EPC)풍전항목가능존재적풍험,제출료기우모호종합평개이론적풍험평개방법。재총결분석 EPC 풍전항목각풍험인소적기출상,결합안례분석장모호종합평개법운용도풍험평개연구중,근거모호대속도이론파정성평개전화위정량평개,종이실현대 EPC 풍전항목적풍험진행양화평개,대가강풍험방범화공제구유일정지도의의。
The risk assessment method based on the fuzzy comprehensive assessment theory is proposed aiming at potential risks in wind ener-gy projects developed in EPC mode.Based on summary and analysis on potential risks in such wind project, the fuzzy comprehensive assess-ment method is applied in the risk assessment in combination with the case analysis.According to the fuzzy membership degree theory, the qualitative assessment is turned into quantitative assessment so that the risks of such wind energy projects could be assessed in term of quanti-tative assessment.It guides to strengthen the risk control and prevention.