西北人口
西北人口
서북인구
Northwest Population Journal
2015年
6期
52-56
,共5页
资源产业繁荣%劳动力分配%人口城市化%内在机制
資源產業繁榮%勞動力分配%人口城市化%內在機製
자원산업번영%노동력분배%인구성시화%내재궤제
Resources industry prosperity%Labor distribution%Urbanization%Internal mechanism
通过构建基于城市面板数据的计量模型,得出在我国资源型地区资源产业繁荣对劳动力在不同生产部门间分配的作用机制:资源产业的过度繁荣不仅减少了农业部门和制造业部门的劳动力,同时对服务业部门劳动力份额也具有挤出效应。其根本原因在于:资源型地区的经济增长源于资源产业的突发性繁荣,工业化表现出资源产业“一头独大”、制造业相对萎缩的突出特点,人口城市化的发展基础具有脆弱性,存在着一定的风险。一旦资源枯竭或产业发展受阻,这些地区的经济增长将无以为继,城市化发展面临困境,因此必须寻求经济转型道路以破解发展难题。
通過構建基于城市麵闆數據的計量模型,得齣在我國資源型地區資源產業繁榮對勞動力在不同生產部門間分配的作用機製:資源產業的過度繁榮不僅減少瞭農業部門和製造業部門的勞動力,同時對服務業部門勞動力份額也具有擠齣效應。其根本原因在于:資源型地區的經濟增長源于資源產業的突髮性繁榮,工業化錶現齣資源產業“一頭獨大”、製造業相對萎縮的突齣特點,人口城市化的髮展基礎具有脆弱性,存在著一定的風險。一旦資源枯竭或產業髮展受阻,這些地區的經濟增長將無以為繼,城市化髮展麵臨睏境,因此必鬚尋求經濟轉型道路以破解髮展難題。
통과구건기우성시면판수거적계량모형,득출재아국자원형지구자원산업번영대노동력재불동생산부문간분배적작용궤제:자원산업적과도번영불부감소료농업부문화제조업부문적노동력,동시대복무업부문노동력빈액야구유제출효응。기근본원인재우:자원형지구적경제증장원우자원산업적돌발성번영,공업화표현출자원산업“일두독대”、제조업상대위축적돌출특점,인구성시화적발전기출구유취약성,존재착일정적풍험。일단자원고갈혹산업발전수조,저사지구적경제증장장무이위계,성시화발전면림곤경,인차필수심구경제전형도로이파해발전난제。
By Constructing a econometric model based on panel data of cities,the internal mechanism of how the resources industry prosperity influences the labor distribution between departments in resources-based areas is:the excessive prosperity of resources industries not only reduces the labor force share in agricultural and manufacturing sector,but also the labor force share in service sector. The fundamental reason is that the economic growth of resource-based regional in China comes from the sudden prosperity of resources industry,and its industrialization show that the resources industry is prominent and the manufacturing industry is rela-tive in atrophy,and the urbanization is fragile and at a certain risk. Once resource becomes exhaustion or the resource industry development is in the face of difficulties, the economic growth of these areas would not continue and the urbanization would be in plight,so that the resource-based areas in China must seek economic transition road to crack development problems.