西北人口
西北人口
서북인구
Northwest Population Journal
2015年
6期
29-33,38
,共6页
人口量质偏好%人力资本%农业技术演进
人口量質偏好%人力資本%農業技術縯進
인구량질편호%인력자본%농업기술연진
Preference change from Population quantity to quality%Human capital%Agricultural technical progress
农村家庭人口生产偏好从数量向质量转变，是推动农业发展跳出“马尔萨斯陷阱”，从劳动密集型向物质资本和人力资本密集型演进的重要驱动力。1980-2010年，中国农村人口与农业发展数据的计量检验证实：现阶段，应继续稳定农村低生育水平，大力提高农业劳动力人力资本存量，着力消除资本边际收益递减规律的影响。
農村傢庭人口生產偏好從數量嚮質量轉變，是推動農業髮展跳齣“馬爾薩斯陷阱”，從勞動密集型嚮物質資本和人力資本密集型縯進的重要驅動力。1980-2010年，中國農村人口與農業髮展數據的計量檢驗證實：現階段，應繼續穩定農村低生育水平，大力提高農業勞動力人力資本存量，著力消除資本邊際收益遞減規律的影響。
농촌가정인구생산편호종수량향질량전변，시추동농업발전도출“마이살사함정”，종노동밀집형향물질자본화인력자본밀집형연진적중요구동력。1980-2010년，중국농촌인구여농업발전수거적계량검험증실：현계단，응계속은정농촌저생육수평，대력제고농업노동력인력자본존량，착력소제자본변제수익체감규률적영향。
Preference for rural family population production has been changing from quantity to quality ,which promoted agri-cultural development to jump out of “the Malthus trap”. It also is an endogenous power to promote agricultural development from labor-intensive to material capital intensive and generalized capital (physical capital and human capital) intensive. At present, stabilizing lower birth level and improving human capital stock of the rural labor should be emphasized,so as to re-duce the influence of the law of diminishing marginal returns of capital and to promote agricultural technology progress. Mea-surement inspection about China’s rural population and agriculture development data from 1980 to 2010 confirmed this view.
