CAJ | 학술논문

从当前至2030年，中国农业转移人口数量将累计超过4亿，市民化的任务艰巨而漫长。人口普查数据的相关性分析表明，农业转移人口在东、中、西部地区之间以及大、中、小城市之间的空间选择严重失衡，不利于市民化的空间有序推进。数据比较分析发现，由于投资在东、中、西部地区以及行政中心城市和一般城市之间的长期失衡，致使就业机会、基础设施建设以及公共资源配置在东、中、西部地区和不同性质城市之间存在巨大差距，造成地区之间以及城市之间吸引人口迁入的能量存在很大不同，从而产生农业转移人口空间选择失衡现象，而国家区域发展战略和政策扶持在不同地区间实施的时间差更加剧了这种空间失衡。文章从国家区域发展战略、中央政府和地方政府的政策设计以及美丽乡村建设等角度提出了空间有序推进农业转移人口市民化的措施建议。
종당전지2030년，중국농업전이인구수량장루계초과4억，시민화적임무간거이만장。인구보사수거적상관성분석표명，농업전이인구재동、중、서부지구지간이급대、중、소성시지간적공간선택엄중실형，불리우시민화적공간유서추진。수거비교분석발현，유우투자재동、중、서부지구이급행정중심성시화일반성시지간적장기실형，치사취업궤회、기출설시건설이급공공자원배치재동、중、서부지구화불동성질성시지간존재거대차거，조성지구지간이급성시지간흡인인구천입적능량존재흔대불동，종이산생농업전이인구공간선택실형현상，이국가구역발전전략화정책부지재불동지구간실시적시간차경가극료저충공간실형。문장종국가구역발전전략、중앙정부화지방정부적정책설계이급미려향촌건설등각도제출료공간유서추진농업전이인구시민화적조시건의。
From now to 2030,the number of rural migrants in China will pile up to more than 400 million, so, how to realize their citizenization is an arduous and long-term task for China. Census data and correlation analysis show that since 1990, the spatial flow of rural migrants among the eastern, central and western part of China as well as among large, medium and small sized cities of China is seriously imbalanced, which undermines the spatial order of the citizenization of rural migrants. Through data compari-son analyzing,this article points out that it is the imbalanced spatial distribution of investment that lead to the huge gaps of job op-portunities, infrastructure development and allocation of public resources among the eastern,central and western regions as well as the administrative center cities and ordinary cities,which causes huge different capabilities of attracting migrant workers among different regions and cities of China. And time lags of the implementation of national region development strategies along with the supporting policies for different areas further exacerbate this kind of spatial imbalance. This article proposes measures like region-balanced development strategies, policies designs of both central government and local governments and the interaction between urban and rural areas be taken to promote a space-orderly pattern of the citizenization of rural migrants in China.