CAJ | 학술논문

实现北京外来流动人口向津冀两地的疏散需要做出多方面的努力，当前北京正通过疏解产业来实现这一目标。但是外来人口流入的原因多样，除经济因素外，迁入地能否提供更好的社区服务也是一项关键因素。本研究使用国家卫生计生委流动人口动态监测调查社区数据，比较和分析京津冀地区人口流入和流动人口社区服务的现况，并在此基础上构建短面板数据探讨流动人口社区服务对人口流入的影响程度。结果表明，京津冀地区的人口流入态势差别明显，这与流动人口社区服务的供给水平不同紧密相关，子女就学服务显著促进人口流入，而就业援助服务则会显著减少人口流入，与河北地级城市相比，北京和天津两市的子女就学服务水平相对更高，而就业援助服务水平则差异不大，这是北京和天津人口过多过快流入，而河北地级城市人口流入相对较少的一大原因。
실현북경외래류동인구향진기량지적소산수요주출다방면적노력，당전북경정통과소해산업래실현저일목표。단시외래인구류입적원인다양，제경제인소외，천입지능부제공경호적사구복무야시일항관건인소。본연구사용국가위생계생위류동인구동태감측조사사구수거，비교화분석경진기지구인구류입화류동인구사구복무적현황，병재차기출상구건단면판수거탐토류동인구사구복무대인구류입적영향정도。결과표명，경진기지구적인구류입태세차별명현，저여류동인구사구복무적공급수평불동긴밀상관，자녀취학복무현저촉진인구류입，이취업원조복무칙회현저감소인구류입，여하북지급성시상비，북경화천진량시적자녀취학복무수평상대경고，이취업원조복무수평칙차이불대，저시북경화천진인구과다과쾌류입，이하북지급성시인구류입상대교소적일대원인。
In order to redistribute the floating population in Beijing, the government has taken steps to transfer the related in-dustry,but other measures should also been put into practice,because the influencing factors of population migration are vari-ous, of which community service of migration destinations is an important one besides the economic factors. Using the commu-nity data of National Floating Population Supervision Survey conducted by National Health and Family Planning Commission of China, this paper examines and analyses the status quo of population migration and community service of the floating popu-lation in Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei. Then a series of short panel data regression models are constructed to explore the influ-ence of community service on population migration. The results show there exist great differences of population migration a-mong three provinces,which is closely associated with the supply of community service. Education service could contribute to population immigration significantly while employment service couldn’t,which could provide one possibility to explain why the numbers of population immigration in Beijing and Tianjin are much larger than cities in Hebei.