环境科学与管理
環境科學與管理
배경과학여관리
Environmental Science and Management
2015年
10期
35-39
,共5页
簇聚类%高校能耗预测%GM-RBF模型%灰色-遗传RBF模型%组合模型
簇聚類%高校能耗預測%GM-RBF模型%灰色-遺傳RBF模型%組閤模型
족취류%고교능모예측%GM-RBF모형%회색-유전RBF모형%조합모형
clustering%energy consumption of universities%GM-RBF model%gray-GA RBF model%combined model
针对高校能源消耗建模研究与应用问题,文中介绍了高校能耗日益增长现状,给出了高校能耗模型构建,为节约能源必须做好精准能耗预测.建立了灰色径向基函数神经网络高校能耗预测模型,并采用基于排序等分法赌盘规则选择算子的遗传算法对该模型进行全局优化,进一步用实例对比分析评估了模型的有效性.实践表明,优化后的模型能有效预测能耗,与传统单一的建模方式相比,有更好的拟合性、稳定性、预测精度和更快的收敛速度,为节能评估和设计提供了决策依据.
針對高校能源消耗建模研究與應用問題,文中介紹瞭高校能耗日益增長現狀,給齣瞭高校能耗模型構建,為節約能源必鬚做好精準能耗預測.建立瞭灰色徑嚮基函數神經網絡高校能耗預測模型,併採用基于排序等分法賭盤規則選擇算子的遺傳算法對該模型進行全跼優化,進一步用實例對比分析評估瞭模型的有效性.實踐錶明,優化後的模型能有效預測能耗,與傳統單一的建模方式相比,有更好的擬閤性、穩定性、預測精度和更快的收斂速度,為節能評估和設計提供瞭決策依據.
침대고교능원소모건모연구여응용문제,문중개소료고교능모일익증장현상,급출료고교능모모형구건,위절약능원필수주호정준능모예측.건립료회색경향기함수신경망락고교능모예측모형,병채용기우배서등분법도반규칙선택산자적유전산법대해모형진행전국우화,진일보용실례대비분석평고료모형적유효성.실천표명,우화후적모형능유효예측능모,여전통단일적건모방식상비,유경호적의합성、은정성、예측정도화경쾌적수렴속도,위절능평고화설계제공료결책의거.
Focused on energy consumption modeling research and application problems in colleges and universities, this pa-per introduces the growing energy consumption situation in colleges and universities.The energy consumption modeling in colleges and universities is given to precise prediction of energy consumption.Energy consumption of radial basis function( RBF) neural network in colleges and universities is established based on a gray forecast model.Based on the uniform method roulette rule se-lection operator of genetic algorithm to global optimization of the model, the study further evaluated the effectiveness of the model with a practical example.The results shows that the optimized model can predict the energy consumption more effectively than tra-ditional single modeling method with a better fitting, stability, accuracy and faster convergence speed.The paper provides a deci-sion-making basis for energy saving assessment and design.
