CAJ | 학술논문

当前我国正处于老年人口规模和速度都迅速发展的时期，老龄化会对经济与社会发展造成不利影响。根据经济增长理论，从人力、资本、技术三个方面系统分析了老龄化对经济发展的影响，并采用动态面板回归模型进行实证分析。研究结果表明：老龄化现象对人力资本、技术进步、国内生产总值均有不利影响，但对资本形成总额则有积极作用。从不同角度分析成因后，指出只有不断创新，提高生产效率、提高人口素质才能应对老龄化的不利影响。
당전아국정처우노년인구규모화속도도신속발전적시기，노령화회대경제여사회발전조성불리영향。근거경제증장이론，종인력、자본、기술삼개방면계통분석료노령화대경제발전적영향，병채용동태면판회귀모형진행실증분석。연구결과표명：노령화현상대인력자본、기술진보、국내생산총치균유불리영향，단대자본형성총액칙유적겁작용。종불동각도분석성인후，지출지유불단창신，제고생산효솔、제고인구소질재능응대노령화적불리영향。
China is now in a period of the elderly population both on size and speed .Based on the theory of e-conomic growth ,this paper systematically analyzes the impacts of aging on economic and social development from three aspects of human,capital, technology.And empirically analyzes the impact of aging on China ’s economic de-velopment by using dynamic panel data regression model .The results showed that:aging phenomena have an adverse impact on human capital ,working-age population growth , technological progress ,and GDP.But it is positively cor-related with gross capital formation , and a reasonable explanation has to be given .The fundamental ways to deal with the problem of aging are constant innovation , vigorously develop the productive forces and improve production efficiency .