CAJ | 학술논문

依据湖北省1961-2012年近52年来年极端最高和最低气温数据，运用 Arcgis 空间分析、线性倾向、Mann-Kendall、小波分析法对极端气温时空特征进行定量化分析。结果表明：时间上，年极端最高气温呈现弱增温趋势，年极端最低气温增温趋势远大于年极端最高气温，增温倾向率为0.556°C/10a；年极端最高气温在1994年发生突变，年极端最低气温在1986年出现突变且存在11a和6a周期；空间上，大部分地区极端最高高气温呈弱下降趋势，极端最低气温则整体呈显著上升趋势，空间差异明显。全球变暖和地形因素是造成极端气温差异的可能因素，局部地区的极端气温变化和城市化水平有很大关系。
의거호북성1961-2012년근52년래년겁단최고화최저기온수거，운용 Arcgis 공간분석、선성경향、Mann-Kendall、소파분석법대겁단기온시공특정진행정양화분석。결과표명：시간상，년겁단최고기온정현약증온추세，년겁단최저기온증온추세원대우년겁단최고기온，증온경향솔위0.556°C/10a；년겁단최고기온재1994년발생돌변，년겁단최저기온재1986년출현돌변차존재11a화6a주기；공간상，대부분지구겁단최고고기온정약하강추세，겁단최저기온칙정체정현저상승추세，공간차이명현。전구변난화지형인소시조성겁단기온차이적가능인소，국부지구적겁단기온변화화성시화수평유흔대관계。
In this paper, the methods of spatial analysis of Arcgis, regression analysis, Mann-Kendall test and wavelet were used to analyze the variation of extreme temperature of Hubei Province based on the annual extreme maximum and minimum temperature-from 1961 to 2012. Results indicated thatthe annual extreme maxi-mum temperatureis increasing slightly from 1961 to 2012, but the extreme minimum temperature is in a high increase with a rate of 0.556° C/10a. The annual extreme high temperature has a warm abrupt change in 1986, whereas the annual extreme minimum temperature has a warm abrupt change in 1986 and has 11a and 6a main periodic changes. Spatial distribution of annual extreme maximum temperature shows that it is in a slight decrease in most of area, but annual extreme minimum temperature shows that it is in a large increase in most of area, the spatial distribution differ-ences were obvious. Global warming and different terrain might be responsible for extreme temperature change, whereas local area temperature might results from level of urbanization.