CAJ | 학술논문

从“无流通论”到“一般流通论”，从“流通先导产业论”到“流通基础产业论”，商贸流通理论的发展过程逐步强调商贸流通业在国民经济发展过程中贡献的重要性。文章首先从直接作用和间接作用两个方面分析了商贸流通业对宏观经济发展的作用。其次利用甘肃省1978—2012年的数据，通过协整检验并建立误差修正模型研究商贸流通业与经济发展之间的关系。结果表明，从长期来看商贸流通业每增长1个百分点，甘肃省宏观经济将会增长0.332个百分点。最后，分析了目前甘肃省及各地级市商贸流通业发展过程中存在的问题，并结合“新丝绸之路”经济带建设大背景对甘肃省进一步发展商贸流通业提出相关政策建议。
종“무류통론”도“일반류통론”，종“류통선도산업론”도“류통기출산업론”，상무류통이론적발전과정축보강조상무류통업재국민경제발전과정중공헌적중요성。문장수선종직접작용화간접작용량개방면분석료상무류통업대굉관경제발전적작용。기차이용감숙성1978—2012년적수거，통과협정검험병건립오차수정모형연구상무류통업여경제발전지간적관계。결과표명，종장기래간상무류통업매증장1개백분점，감숙성굉관경제장회증장0.332개백분점。최후，분석료목전감숙성급각지급시상무류통업발전과정중존재적문제，병결합“신사주지로”경제대건설대배경대감숙성진일보발전상무류통업제출상관정책건의。
From the “circulation theory” to “general circulation theory”,from “circulation theory of leading industry” to “cir-culation theory of basic industry development”,the development of the commerce and trade circulation theory gradually em-phasized commerce in the important role in the process of national economic development. Based on the data between 1978 and 2012 in Gansu,this paper researches the relationship between commerce and trade circulation industry and the economy development by using co-integration test and building the error correction model. The result is that commerce and trade circu-lation industry has been playing much more positive important role in the development of economy in Gansu province. Finally , we analyze the problems of Gansu province,and last present relevant suggestions.