CAJ | 학술논문

为有效解决EPC项目关键链缓冲区时间估计不够准确而影响项目进度计划编制与控制的问题，在分析现有关键链缓冲区设置方面研究成果及其存在不足基础上，首先采用探索性因子分析法，通过文献归纳、问卷设计与数据采集、数据处理与分析，进行了EPC项目缓冲区设置影响因素发掘与提取，提取出了21项EPC项目缓冲区设置关键影响因素；其次建立了基于影响因素权重及其对不同工序影响程度的工序综合权重计算模型，同时引入工序位置权重及工序作业时间风险弹性系数，构建了项目缓冲区及输入缓冲区定量确定模型；最后以某EPC项目为例进行了应用研究，论证了关键链缓冲区设置模型的准确性与可操作性，为EPC项目缓冲区设置提供了借鉴。
위유효해결EPC항목관건련완충구시간고계불구준학이영향항목진도계화편제여공제적문제，재분석현유관건련완충구설치방면연구성과급기존재불족기출상，수선채용탐색성인자분석법，통과문헌귀납、문권설계여수거채집、수거처리여분석，진행료EPC항목완충구설치영향인소발굴여제취，제취출료21항EPC항목완충구설치관건영향인소；기차건립료기우영향인소권중급기대불동공서영향정도적공서종합권중계산모형，동시인입공서위치권중급공서작업시간풍험탄성계수，구건료항목완충구급수입완충구정량학정모형；최후이모EPC항목위례진행료응용연구，론증료관건련완충구설치모형적준학성여가조작성，위EPC항목완충구설치제공료차감。
The inaccurate estimation of buffer time always has influence on the project planning and control of EPC project, in order to solve the problem effectively, on the basis of analyzing the current research achievement and existing problems of critical chain buffer setting, firstly, viewing the literature, designing questionnaires and collecting data, processing and analyzing data, the influence factors of EPC project buffer setting have been extracted through the exploratory factor analysis method, and 21 key influence factors of buffer setting are deter-mined;Secondly, the process synthesis weights calculation model is constructed based on the weight of different factors and different factors have different effects on the process, meanwhile, introducing the process position weight and the risk elastic coefficient of processes operating time, a quantitative determination model of the project buffer and the input buffer is established; Finally, an example of EPC project is applied, argued the accuracy and operability of the key chain buffer setting model, referenced for the EPC project buffer setting.