价值工程
價值工程
개치공정
Value Engineering
2015年
32期
116-118
,共3页
轿车故障%统计分析%ARMA模型
轎車故障%統計分析%ARMA模型
교차고장%통계분석%ARMA모형
car failure%statistics analysis%ARMA model
基于某油田车管中心公务轿车故障历史记录，应用计量经济学技术对轿车故障记录数据进行分析，寻找轿车故障规律；不无创新地视故障的发生为时间序列进行分析研究、模型预测；建立了不同车型故障时间序列的ARMA模型，并以帕萨特、奥迪A6、君威三种公务车车型为例进行了实证。
基于某油田車管中心公務轎車故障歷史記錄，應用計量經濟學技術對轎車故障記錄數據進行分析，尋找轎車故障規律；不無創新地視故障的髮生為時間序列進行分析研究、模型預測；建立瞭不同車型故障時間序列的ARMA模型，併以帕薩特、奧迪A6、君威三種公務車車型為例進行瞭實證。
기우모유전차관중심공무교차고장역사기록，응용계량경제학기술대교차고장기록수거진행분석，심조교차고장규률；불무창신지시고장적발생위시간서렬진행분석연구、모형예측；건립료불동차형고장시간서렬적ARMA모형，병이파살특、오적A6、군위삼충공무차차형위례진행료실증。
Based on the historical records of official car failure from car administration office of a oilfield, this paper analyzes car failures recorders to discover cars failure rules by econometrics methods. A statistical analysis application that analyzes official car failure is introduced in this paper as innovation. The failure time interval is regarded as time series; get the failure time interval series to analyze and build the forecasting model. The ARMA models that describe the failure time interval series of different car types are built, taking Passat, Audi A6 and LaCrosse for example to illustrate.
