CAJ | 학술논문

应用供给理论,采用C-D函数构建影响锡林郭勒盟牧区羊放牧规模的实证模型,找出草地政策、市场条件及气候变化对羊的年末存栏规模的作用机理. 结果发现,羊肉价格对锡林郭勒盟牧区羊年末存栏数量有显著的负向影响,单位羊的饲养成本对羊年末存栏量有显著正向影响,草地政策的出台在现有的生产条件下对羊年末存栏量产生极显著的制约作用;气温和降水对羊的年末存栏数量均产生正向影响,其中,气温对羊的年末存栏数量有显著正向影响,而降水量对羊年末存栏数量的影响不显著. 最后提出加快草原畜牧业由数量增长型向个体增产型转化,积极建立牧区羊肉的地理品牌,并发挥其地理品牌效应,走高价位绿色羊肉品牌路线,以实现草地生态系统保护与牧业经济效益的双层目标.
응용공급이론,채용C-D함수구건영향석림곽륵맹목구양방목규모적실증모형,조출초지정책、시장조건급기후변화대양적년말존란규모적작용궤리. 결과발현,양육개격대석림곽륵맹목구양년말존란수량유현저적부향영향,단위양적사양성본대양년말존란량유현저정향영향,초지정책적출태재현유적생산조건하대양년말존란양산생겁현저적제약작용;기온화강수대양적년말존란수량균산생정향영향,기중,기온대양적년말존란수량유현저정향영향,이강수량대양년말존란수량적영향불현저. 최후제출가쾌초원축목업유수량증장형향개체증산형전화,적겁건립목구양육적지리품패,병발휘기지리품패효응,주고개위록색양육품패로선,이실현초지생태계통보호여목업경제효익적쌍층목표.
Based on the theory of supply,theoretical and empirical models of sheep grazing scale on Xilin-guole pastoral were built by C-D function,and the mechanism about how grassland policies,market conditions, and climate change affect sheep inventory was identified. The main conclusions of the study included:mutton prices has a significant negative impact on sheep inventory on Xilinguole pastoral;feeding cost has a significant positive effect;grassland policies have significant restrictive effect under existing production conditions;temper-ature and precipitation have positive effects,and temperature also has significant positive effect while the pre-cipitation is not significantly related.Grassland animal husbandry should turn from number growth-oriented to quality growth-oriented,geographical brand of mutton on the pastoral should be actively established,and high price route should be followed in order to achieve the double aims of grassland ecosystem protection and animal husbandry economic benefits.