CAJ | 학술논문

半农半牧区旗县的肉牛产业化推进方式,不同于纯农区或纯牧区,具有其自身的规律性,并形成了与其生态、社会与经济特征相适应的特有模式.以内蒙古20个半农半牧旗县的肉牛产业经营状况为参照体系,利用Delphi法取得的数据,构建了一个适宜于内蒙古半农半牧区肉牛产业化发展水平的评价指标体系,该体系包括4个方面和11个指标.进一步以太仆寺旗为实证评价对象,运用灰色聚类原理,建立了三角隶属函数评估灰色模型.通过实证评价,初步完成了太仆寺旗县域经济范围内的肉牛产业化经营的管理成效及发展水平的考核与诊断,给出了肉牛全产业链各环节细化目标制定时所需的科学依据.评价结果表明:从横向上比较,2014年太仆寺旗肉牛产业化经营水平指数处于内蒙古地区同类半农半牧旗县的中游序列;从纵向上比较,近5年间呈上升趋势,当前尚处于产业化发展的初期阶段;其中在富民强县肉牛专项实施后,发展速度比往年有所提高,项目实施效果较好.
반농반목구기현적육우산업화추진방식,불동우순농구혹순목구,구유기자신적규률성,병형성료여기생태、사회여경제특정상괄응적특유모식.이내몽고20개반농반목기현적육우산업경영상황위삼조체계,이용Delphi법취득적수거,구건료일개괄의우내몽고반농반목구육우산업화발전수평적평개지표체계,해체계포괄4개방면화11개지표.진일보이태부사기위실증평개대상,운용회색취류원리,건립료삼각대속함수평고회색모형.통과실증평개,초보완성료태부사기현역경제범위내적육우산업화경영적관리성효급발전수평적고핵여진단,급출료육우전산업련각배절세화목표제정시소수적과학의거.평개결과표명:종횡향상비교,2014년태부사기육우산업화경영수평지수처우내몽고지구동류반농반목기현적중유서렬;종종향상비교,근5년간정상승추세,당전상처우산업화발전적초기계단;기중재부민강현육우전항실시후,발전속도비왕년유소제고,항목실시효과교호.
Industrialization propulsion mode of cattle in farming-pastoral region is differ from rural area or pasturing area.It has the rule itself, and forming the mold adjust to ecology,society and economy.Within 20 cattle industry counties of farming-pastoral region in Inner Mongolia as the research background and reference,a suitable for farming and pastoral areas of Inner Mongolia beef cattle industrialization development level evaluation index system was built by using the Delphi method to obtain the results of a survey.The system includes 4 aspects and 11 indexes.Further with Taipusi as the object of empirical evaluation,grey model for the evaluation of the triangle membership function was established by using the principle of the grey clustering.Through empirical evaluation,the Taipusi Banner economy within the scope of the cattle industrialization management performance and level of development of assessment and diagnosis were initially completed.Development goal of cattle industry chain setting was given after the scientific basis.Evaluation results showed that:from the horizontal comparison,cattle industrialization level index of Taipusi in the upstream of farming-pastoral region in 2014.From the longitudinal comparison,it showed unstable rising trend in recent 5 years.Currently it' s still in the early stages of industrial development.The development speed is greatly improved than normal after implementing the special prosperous development in 2014.The project implementation effect is good.