农业展望
農業展望
농업전망
Agricultural Outlook
2015年
10期
69-72
,共4页
粮食%进口%价格支持政策%成本%价差
糧食%進口%價格支持政策%成本%價差
양식%진구%개격지지정책%성본%개차
grain%import%price support policy%cost%price spread
2012年以来中国粮食尤其是大米进口量大幅增加,同时国内稻谷增产、库存高企,对大米市场形成双重挤压。近几年粮食进口大幅增加主要是中国进口价格低于国内价格所致,预计这种情况还会持续两年左右,但并不会成为“新常态”。中国主粮政策仍应坚守底线;目标价格是中国粮价形成机制改革和发展的方向,但不可急于求成。同时,有必要对当前情况采取阶段性、针对性措施。
2012年以來中國糧食尤其是大米進口量大幅增加,同時國內稻穀增產、庫存高企,對大米市場形成雙重擠壓。近幾年糧食進口大幅增加主要是中國進口價格低于國內價格所緻,預計這種情況還會持續兩年左右,但併不會成為“新常態”。中國主糧政策仍應堅守底線;目標價格是中國糧價形成機製改革和髮展的方嚮,但不可急于求成。同時,有必要對噹前情況採取階段性、針對性措施。
2012년이래중국양식우기시대미진구량대폭증가,동시국내도곡증산、고존고기,대대미시장형성쌍중제압。근궤년양식진구대폭증가주요시중국진구개격저우국내개격소치,예계저충정황환회지속량년좌우,단병불회성위“신상태”。중국주량정책잉응견수저선;목표개격시중국량개형성궤제개혁화발전적방향,단불가급우구성。동시,유필요대당전정황채취계단성、침대성조시。
The import volume of China's grain, especially rice, has been increasing substantially since 2012, so do the yield and the inventory of domestic paddy, which form a double extrusion on the rice market. The main reason on the increasing imports of grain in recent years is that the import price is lower than the domestic price, which will continue for about two years, but it won't become a period of"new normal". It should continue adhering to the bottom line for Chinese staple grain policy. Target price will be the direction of reform and development to price formation mechanism of China's grain, which should not be anxious for success. Meanwhile, it is necessary to take some periodical and targeted measures on current situation.