CAJ | 학술논문

采用三峡库区三个区域（库首、库腹、库尾）2003—2013年的面板数据，运用PVAR模型对其城镇化、工业化与经济增长进行实证研究。结果表明：库首地区城镇化与经济增长、工业化与经济增长都是一种相互促进关系，城镇化、工业化对经济增长的推动力度较经济增长对城镇化、工业化的推动力度更大；库腹地区工业化和城镇化不具协调性，也由于二者之间的不协调，导致该地区城镇化、工业化、经济增长三者之间无法形成良性循环作用机制；库尾地区镇化、工业化、经济增长三者之间没有产生明显的作用机制。
채용삼협고구삼개구역（고수、고복、고미）2003—2013년적면판수거，운용PVAR모형대기성진화、공업화여경제증장진행실증연구。결과표명：고수지구성진화여경제증장、공업화여경제증장도시일충상호촉진관계，성진화、공업화대경제증장적추동력도교경제증장대성진화、공업화적추동력도경대；고복지구공업화화성진화불구협조성，야유우이자지간적불협조，도치해지구성진화、공업화、경제증장삼자지간무법형성량성순배작용궤제；고미지구진화、공업화、경제증장삼자지간몰유산생명현적작용궤제。
By using the 2003—2013 panel data about the three regions of the Three Georges Reservoir Area (head, middle and tail area) and the PVAR model, this paper has an empirical study of the urbanization, industrialization and economic growth. The results reveals that the urbanization and industrialization and economic growth in the head area are in a mutually reinforcing relationship, and urbanization and industrialization has a stronger pushing force to the economic growth, but the opposite is not the established. In the middle region, industrialization and urbanization are not mutually reinforcing, which cannot lead to a sound functional mechanism among the three; in the tail area, there is no apparent functional mechanism among the urbanization, industrialization, economic growth.