内蒙古师范大学学报（自然科学汉文版）
內矇古師範大學學報（自然科學漢文版）
내몽고사범대학학보（자연과학한문판）
Journal of Inner Mongolia Normal University (Natural Science Edition)
2015年
5期
667-673,679
,共8页
交通运输碳排放%空间格局%ESDA-GIS%新型城镇化
交通運輸碳排放%空間格跼%ESDA-GIS%新型城鎮化
교통운수탄배방%공간격국%ESDA-GIS%신형성진화
transportation carbon emission%spatial pattern%ESDA-GIS%new urbanization
以中国30个省、自治区和直辖市为研究对象，以2000年和2012年为时间节点，运用自上而下法计算交通运输碳排放量，运用 ESDA(探索性空间数据分析)和 GIS(地理信息系统)相结合的空间分析框架探讨交通运输碳排放的时空格局特征。研究结果表明：①省域交通运输碳排放的增长速度和空间分异十分明显，东部经济地带>中部经济地带>西部经济地带，这与区域经济发展水平相一致；②交通运输碳排放呈现离散分布，负相关性不断减弱，热点区和冷点区比重均呈下降趋势，东部沿海尤其是长三角和环渤海出现热点结构特征，西部内陆始终为低值簇；③在不断扩大的交通运输碳排放空间差异中，随机性增强，空间自组织性减弱，格局演化存在一定的规律性和延续性，由东部沿海向西部内陆渐次倾斜。
以中國30箇省、自治區和直轄市為研究對象，以2000年和2012年為時間節點，運用自上而下法計算交通運輸碳排放量，運用 ESDA(探索性空間數據分析)和 GIS(地理信息繫統)相結閤的空間分析框架探討交通運輸碳排放的時空格跼特徵。研究結果錶明：①省域交通運輸碳排放的增長速度和空間分異十分明顯，東部經濟地帶>中部經濟地帶>西部經濟地帶，這與區域經濟髮展水平相一緻；②交通運輸碳排放呈現離散分佈，負相關性不斷減弱，熱點區和冷點區比重均呈下降趨勢，東部沿海尤其是長三角和環渤海齣現熱點結構特徵，西部內陸始終為低值簇；③在不斷擴大的交通運輸碳排放空間差異中，隨機性增彊，空間自組織性減弱，格跼縯化存在一定的規律性和延續性，由東部沿海嚮西部內陸漸次傾斜。
이중국30개성、자치구화직할시위연구대상，이2000년화2012년위시간절점，운용자상이하법계산교통운수탄배방량，운용 ESDA(탐색성공간수거분석)화 GIS(지리신식계통)상결합적공간분석광가탐토교통운수탄배방적시공격국특정。연구결과표명：①성역교통운수탄배방적증장속도화공간분이십분명현，동부경제지대>중부경제지대>서부경제지대，저여구역경제발전수평상일치；②교통운수탄배방정현리산분포，부상관성불단감약，열점구화랭점구비중균정하강추세，동부연해우기시장삼각화배발해출현열점결구특정，서부내륙시종위저치족；③재불단확대적교통운수탄배방공간차이중，수궤성증강，공간자조직성감약，격국연화존재일정적규률성화연속성，유동부연해향서부내륙점차경사。
Taking the 30 provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government as the research object,taking 2000 and 2000 as the time node,the transport carbon emission was calculated by using top-down method,explored spatial-temporal pattern of transport carbon emission by using the exploratory spatial data analysis(ESDA)and GIS(geographic information system)with the combination of spatial analysis framework.The result indicates that:(1 )The growth rate and spatial differentiation of the provincial transportation carbon emissions were obvious.The eastern economic zone>central economic zone>the western economic zone,which was consistent with the level of regional economic development.(2 )The transportation carbon emission presented discrete distribution,and the negative correlation was gradually weakening.The proportion of hotspots and cold spots were gradually reduced.The hotspot structure characteristics of transportation carbon emission were centralized in the eastern coastal areas especially in the Yangtze River Delta and the Bohai Rim,and the cold spots clustered in the western inland.(3 )The spatial difference and random pattern of transportation carbon emission kept increasing,and the self-organized kept reducing.The pattern evolvement of transportation carbon emission tended to be continuous and gradually sloped from the eastern coastal areas to the western inland.
