CAJ | 학술논문

根据新宾地理气候环境特征,利用等差值方法制作乡镇温度订正预报,并分别检验基准站预报值与实况值的绝对差值在0.5℃内、1℃内、2℃内时,各乡镇温度订正预报的准确度.结果表明,利用等差值方法进行乡镇温度订正预报是可行的,且基准站预报值偏离实况值在0.5℃内对乡镇温度订正预报结果几乎没有影响,随着两者的绝对差值增大,对各乡镇的预报准确率的影响就越大.
근거신빈지리기후배경특정,이용등차치방법제작향진온도정정예보,병분별검험기준참예보치여실황치적절대차치재0.5℃내、1℃내、2℃내시,각향진온도정정예보적준학도.결과표명,이용등차치방법진행향진온도정정예보시가행적,차기준참예보치편리실황치재0.5℃내대향진온도정정예보결과궤호몰유영향,수착량자적절대차치증대,대각향진적예보준학솔적영향취월대.
According to geographical, climatic and environmental characteris-tics of Xinbin, equal difference method was adopted for the forecast amendment of town temperature, and testified the precision of town temperature forecast a-mendment as the absolute difference be-tween predicated value and real value was below 0.5℃, 1℃ and 2℃. The re-sults showed that equal difference method was suitable for the forecast a-mendment of town temperature, and the absolute difference between predicated value and real value below 0.5℃ had nearly no impact on the result of forecast amendment, but the impact was en-hanced as the absolute differences in-creased.