浙江电力
浙江電力
절강전력
Zhejiang Electric Power
2015年
11期
61-64,73
,共5页
吴良建%祝刚%许哲伟%郑燃%毛水强
吳良建%祝剛%許哲偉%鄭燃%毛水彊
오량건%축강%허철위%정연%모수강
全寿命周期%故障率%老化不可用率%序贯蒙特卡洛法
全壽命週期%故障率%老化不可用率%序貫矇特卡洛法
전수명주기%고장솔%노화불가용솔%서관몽특잡락법
full life cycle%failure rate%unavailability of aged equipment%sequential Monte Carlo method
电力系统输变电设备的全寿命周期管理对于电力系统可靠性规划具有重要的意义。在介绍设备全寿命周期基础上，按设备投运的不同阶段，分别建立了投运早期、常态运行期和加速老化期的故障率模型，对比了设备老化不可用率的仿真结果，验证了序贯蒙特卡洛仿真的可行性，对比分析了2种适用于设备故障率的可靠性评估方法。
電力繫統輸變電設備的全壽命週期管理對于電力繫統可靠性規劃具有重要的意義。在介紹設備全壽命週期基礎上，按設備投運的不同階段，分彆建立瞭投運早期、常態運行期和加速老化期的故障率模型，對比瞭設備老化不可用率的倣真結果，驗證瞭序貫矇特卡洛倣真的可行性，對比分析瞭2種適用于設備故障率的可靠性評估方法。
전력계통수변전설비적전수명주기관리대우전력계통가고성규화구유중요적의의。재개소설비전수명주기기출상，안설비투운적불동계단，분별건립료투운조기、상태운행기화가속노화기적고장솔모형，대비료설비노화불가용솔적방진결과，험증료서관몽특잡락방진적가행성，대비분석료2충괄용우설비고장솔적가고성평고방법。
Full life cycle management of power transmission and transformation equipment means much to re-liability planning of power system. By introduction of equipment life cycle of failure rate models are estab-lished respectively in accordance with different stages of equipment operation such as earlier operation period, normal operation period and accelerated aging period. By comparing simulation results of aged equipment un-availability, this paper proves feasibility of sequential Monte Carlo simulation and comparatively analyzes two reliability evaluation methods for equipment failure rate.
