CAJ | 학술논문

吉林省作为粮食大省,农业机械化的发展对于实现农业现代化至关重要. 为此,采用吉林省1994-2013 年的相关数据,运用主成分分析法,对吉林省农业机械总动力及其9 个影响因素进行相关研究,最终建立因变量ZY与自变量ZX1 ~ZX9的多元线性回归模型. 模型中,只有农村恩格尔系数与农业机械总动力呈负相关,其余自变量均与农业机械总动力呈正相关. 粮食单产的系数为0.207;农民受教育程度的系数为0.276,相对较低;其余自变量的系数均在0.34 ~0.37 之间,基本相差不大. 最后,提出吉林省要继续加强宏观资本、微观生产资料及科技管理要素的投入,大力培育新型职业农民的建议,以适应新时期农机发展对人才与科技的需求.
길림성작위양식대성,농업궤계화적발전대우실현농업현대화지관중요. 위차,채용길림성1994-2013 년적상관수거,운용주성분분석법,대길림성농업궤계총동력급기9 개영향인소진행상관연구,최종건립인변량ZY여자변량ZX1 ~ZX9적다원선성회귀모형. 모형중,지유농촌은격이계수여농업궤계총동력정부상관,기여자변량균여농업궤계총동력정정상관. 양식단산적계수위0.207;농민수교육정도적계수위0.276,상대교저;기여자변량적계수균재0.34 ~0.37 지간,기본상차불대. 최후,제출길림성요계속가강굉관자본、미관생산자료급과기관리요소적투입,대력배육신형직업농민적건의,이괄응신시기농궤발전대인재여과기적수구.
As the food great province , it is very crucial to the development of agricultural mechanization in Jilin Province.This paper analyzes the total power of agricultural machinery and the influence factors by principal component analysis method using the relevant data of Jilin Province during 1994-2013 .The multi linear regression model is estab-lished for variable ZY and independent variables by ZX1-ZX9 .In the model , only the rural Engel coefficient and the to-tal power of agricultural machinery is negatively correlated , the rest of the independent variables are positively correlated . The coefficient of per unit area yield of grain is 0.207, and the coefficient of farmers'education level is 0.276, relatively low.And the coefficients of the other independent variables have little difference between 0.34~0.37.Finally, it put forward to strengthen the elements of macro capital support , micro production and technology input in the future in Jilin Province .In addition , it need to strengthen the cultivation of new peasants occupation , to meet the demand for talent and technology of agricultural development in the new period .