CAJ | 학술논문

应用空间计量模型对我国10年来工业发展的空间集聚度进行计算，考察工业结构演变对经济增长的影响。与此同时，使用产业结构和投资结构两个指标全面衡量区域间工业结构的演变进程，并测算和评价工业固定资产投资的合理结构。通过研究得出如下结论：目前我国区域间工业的集聚效应依然存在，但是有分散的趋势，工业的集聚中心逐步由沿海向内陆转移。空间杜宾模型的检验结果表明，工业结构对区域经济增长起到了明显的促进作用，且存在显著为正的溢出效应，而工业固定资产结构则未起到正向的作用。
응용공간계량모형대아국10년래공업발전적공간집취도진행계산，고찰공업결구연변대경제증장적영향。여차동시，사용산업결구화투자결구량개지표전면형량구역간공업결구적연변진정，병측산화평개공업고정자산투자적합리결구。통과연구득출여하결론：목전아국구역간공업적집취효응의연존재，단시유분산적추세，공업적집취중심축보유연해향내륙전이。공간두빈모형적검험결과표명，공업결구대구역경제증장기도료명현적촉진작용，차존재현저위정적일출효응，이공업고정자산결구칙미기도정향적작용。
The authors of this paper calculated the spatial agglomeration degree of the industrial development of the past ten years in China,based on the spatial econometric model,measured the evolution of regional industrial structure through the indicators of industrial structure and invest-ment structure,and estimated the reasonable structure of industrial fixed assets investment.The research shows that there still exists the agglomeration effect of regional industry in China,but with the tendency to dispersion,and that the agglomeration center has gradually shifted from coastal areas to inland regions.And the results of the test through the space Du model show that industrial structure plays a significant role in promoting regional economic growth,with a significant positive spillover effect,while the structure of industrial fixed assets does not perform a positive role.