中国环境科学
中國環境科學
중국배경과학
China Environmental Science
2015年
11期
3511-3520
,共10页
岩溶区%DPSIRM概念框架%灰色-集对模型%水资源%安全
巖溶區%DPSIRM概唸框架%灰色-集對模型%水資源%安全
암용구%DPSIRM개념광가%회색-집대모형%수자원%안전
karst area%DPSIRM conceptual framework%grey-set pair model%water resources%security
针对目前水资源安全评价中存在的评价指标片面性、单个指标隶属信息遗漏及权重确定主观性问题,以岩溶典型区-贵州省为例,结合岩溶地区水资源的特点,构建基于驱动力-压力-状态-影响-响应-管理(DPSIRM)概念框架的岩溶区水资源安全 DPSIRM 评价指标体系,借助灰色-集对模型对贵州省2005~2012年水资源安全进行定量评价,研究结果表明:2005和2006年整个贵州省水资源安全处于临界安全状态,2007~2012年处于较安全状态,贵州省水资源安全呈现整体转好的态势。水资源的状态和水资源管理是目前影响贵州省水资源安全的重要因素;因此,在继续调整经济结构转变增长方式同时,提高水资源的利用效率,加大水资源基础设施建设的投入,加强水资源管理制度建设和提高水资源管理制度的落实情况,是贵州省水资源安全的根本保障;该评价模型和指标体系适用性较强,评价结果较为客观,为岩溶地区水资源安全评价提供了一个新视角和新方法。
針對目前水資源安全評價中存在的評價指標片麵性、單箇指標隸屬信息遺漏及權重確定主觀性問題,以巖溶典型區-貴州省為例,結閤巖溶地區水資源的特點,構建基于驅動力-壓力-狀態-影響-響應-管理(DPSIRM)概唸框架的巖溶區水資源安全 DPSIRM 評價指標體繫,藉助灰色-集對模型對貴州省2005~2012年水資源安全進行定量評價,研究結果錶明:2005和2006年整箇貴州省水資源安全處于臨界安全狀態,2007~2012年處于較安全狀態,貴州省水資源安全呈現整體轉好的態勢。水資源的狀態和水資源管理是目前影響貴州省水資源安全的重要因素;因此,在繼續調整經濟結構轉變增長方式同時,提高水資源的利用效率,加大水資源基礎設施建設的投入,加彊水資源管理製度建設和提高水資源管理製度的落實情況,是貴州省水資源安全的根本保障;該評價模型和指標體繫適用性較彊,評價結果較為客觀,為巖溶地區水資源安全評價提供瞭一箇新視角和新方法。
침대목전수자원안전평개중존재적평개지표편면성、단개지표대속신식유루급권중학정주관성문제,이암용전형구-귀주성위례,결합암용지구수자원적특점,구건기우구동력-압력-상태-영향-향응-관리(DPSIRM)개념광가적암용구수자원안전 DPSIRM 평개지표체계,차조회색-집대모형대귀주성2005~2012년수자원안전진행정량평개,연구결과표명:2005화2006년정개귀주성수자원안전처우림계안전상태,2007~2012년처우교안전상태,귀주성수자원안전정현정체전호적태세。수자원적상태화수자원관리시목전영향귀주성수자원안전적중요인소;인차,재계속조정경제결구전변증장방식동시,제고수자원적이용효솔,가대수자원기출설시건설적투입,가강수자원관리제도건설화제고수자원관리제도적락실정황,시귀주성수자원안전적근본보장;해평개모형화지표체계괄용성교강,평개결과교위객관,위암용지구수자원안전평개제공료일개신시각화신방법。
Aiming at the problems existing in the safety evaluation of water resources, such as partial evaluation indexes, the omission of single index membership information and subjectivity problem of determining weight, In a typical karst area-Guizhou province as an example, combining with the characteristics of water resources in karst region, based on conceptual framework of driving force-pressure-state-impact-response-management (DPSIRM) to build evaluation index system of water resources security, with the help of grey-set pair model to make quantitative evaluation of Water security of Guizhou province in 2005~2005, The results show that: the water security in Guizhou in 2005 and 2006 in the criticality safety state, 2007~2012 in a safe state, water security in Guizhou to present the overall good posture. the state of water resources and water resources management ware the important factors affecting the safety of water resources. Continued to adjust the economic structure and transformation of the mode of growth at the same time, improve the utilization efficiency of water resources, increase investment in infrastructure construction of water resources, strengthening the construction of water resources management system and improve the implementation of water resources management system, these were the fundamental guarantee of the water security in Guizhou; The applicability of the evaluation model and index system was stronger, the evaluation results more objective, provided a new perspective and a new method for the safety assessment of water resources in karst region.