中国环境科学
中國環境科學
중국배경과학
China Environmental Science
2015年
11期
3489-3495
,共7页
韦正峥%张淑杰%邢晶晶%索文宇%黄炳昭%王建生
韋正崢%張淑傑%邢晶晶%索文宇%黃炳昭%王建生
위정쟁%장숙걸%형정정%색문우%황병소%왕건생
环境健康综合风险%指标体系%风险指数%区域差异
環境健康綜閤風險%指標體繫%風險指數%區域差異
배경건강종합풍험%지표체계%풍험지수%구역차이
environmental health risk%indicator system%risk index%regional differences
探讨区域环境健康综合风险评价指标体系建立的原则、思路和方法,估算各省环境健康综合风险,为制定环境健康政策提供科学依据。运用层次分析法,结合主成分分析和独立性分析,按照“风险压力-风险现状-风险应对”的总体思路构建了23个指标的区域环境健康综合风险评价指标体系及其权重系数。运用2012年31个省(自治区、直辖市)的数据进行实证检验,并将评价结果进行聚类分析探讨地区风险的差异和规律。研究表明全国有9个省区域环境健康综合风险指数超过标准,其中特别发达(北京、天津、上海)及不发达地区环境健康综合风险相对较低,较为发达地区环境健康风险较高。区域环境健康综合风险评价指标较为科学合理,具有较好的推广性和实用性。
探討區域環境健康綜閤風險評價指標體繫建立的原則、思路和方法,估算各省環境健康綜閤風險,為製定環境健康政策提供科學依據。運用層次分析法,結閤主成分分析和獨立性分析,按照“風險壓力-風險現狀-風險應對”的總體思路構建瞭23箇指標的區域環境健康綜閤風險評價指標體繫及其權重繫數。運用2012年31箇省(自治區、直轄市)的數據進行實證檢驗,併將評價結果進行聚類分析探討地區風險的差異和規律。研究錶明全國有9箇省區域環境健康綜閤風險指數超過標準,其中特彆髮達(北京、天津、上海)及不髮達地區環境健康綜閤風險相對較低,較為髮達地區環境健康風險較高。區域環境健康綜閤風險評價指標較為科學閤理,具有較好的推廣性和實用性。
탐토구역배경건강종합풍험평개지표체계건립적원칙、사로화방법,고산각성배경건강종합풍험,위제정배경건강정책제공과학의거。운용층차분석법,결합주성분분석화독립성분석,안조“풍험압력-풍험현상-풍험응대”적총체사로구건료23개지표적구역배경건강종합풍험평개지표체계급기권중계수。운용2012년31개성(자치구、직할시)적수거진행실증검험,병장평개결과진행취류분석탐토지구풍험적차이화규률。연구표명전국유9개성구역배경건강종합풍험지수초과표준,기중특별발체(북경、천진、상해)급불발체지구배경건강종합풍험상대교저,교위발체지구배경건강풍험교고。구역배경건강종합풍험평개지표교위과학합리,구유교호적추엄성화실용성。
This paper explores the principles and approaches of building the indicator system for regional comprehensive environmental health risk assessment, estimates the comprehensive risks by provinces, therefore provides scientific basis for regional policies. The research applied Pressure-State-Response model to build an indicator system for comprehensive environmental health risk assessment with 23 indicators and their weight coefficients, using Analytic Hierarchy Process combined with principal component analysis and independence analysis. It was empirically tested by the 2012 data of 31 provinces, and a clustering analysis was conducted to reveal the similarity patterns and differences of regional risks. This research shows environmental health risks in 9 provinces are above the standards, developed regions (Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai) and underdeveloped regions have comparatively low risks, and high risks are discovered in quickly developing regions. The indicators developed in regional comprehensive environmental quality assessment are rational and practical, and can be applied to other researches.