CAJ | 학술논문

文章基于2005-2012年省际面板数据，对中国基本养老金增长的空间效应进行了实证分析，研究表明：基本养老金增长存在显著的区域性空间集聚效应，集聚强度呈现波浪形递增态势；地区经济实力差异是造成省际基本养老金差距的主要原因；省际基本养老金增长存在着显著的区域性空间依赖特征，空间溢出效应明显。为了逐渐缩小地区间基本养老金差距，提高基本养老保险统筹水平，给出以下政策建议：首先，防止省际基本养老金水平差距加大的重要途径是合理引导省际间生产要素的流动；其次，完善省际间基本养老保险横向转移支付制度，利用财政手段降低地区间基本养老保障能力的差异程度；最后，优先发展经济落后地区的养老保险事业，增加欠发达地区的基本养老保险基金的积累，提高其投资回报率，防止老龄化程度加深导致基金出现缺口。
문장기우2005-2012년성제면판수거，대중국기본양로금증장적공간효응진행료실증분석，연구표명：기본양로금증장존재현저적구역성공간집취효응，집취강도정현파랑형체증태세；지구경제실력차이시조성성제기본양로금차거적주요원인；성제기본양로금증장존재착현저적구역성공간의뢰특정，공간일출효응명현。위료축점축소지구간기본양로금차거，제고기본양로보험통주수평，급출이하정책건의：수선，방지성제기본양로금수평차거가대적중요도경시합리인도성제간생산요소적류동；기차，완선성제간기본양로보험횡향전이지부제도，이용재정수단강저지구간기본양로보장능력적차이정도；최후，우선발전경제락후지구적양로보험사업，증가흠발체지구적기본양로보험기금적적루，제고기투자회보솔，방지노령화정도가심도치기금출현결구。
Based on provincial panel data from 2005 to 2012, the empirical analysis of spatial effects on the growth of China's basic pension has been processed. There are three aspects shown from the study. First , there is a significant regional spatial agglomera-tion effect on the growth of basic pension, and the agglomeration strength appears wavy increasing trend. Second, regional difference in economic strength is the main reason for the gap of provincial basic pension. Third , there is a significant feature of the regional spatial dependence of the growth of provincial basic pension, and the spatial spillover effect is obvious. In order to narrow the basic pension gap gradually among different regions and improve the basic endowment insurance to plan as a whole , the following suggestions are provided. First, an important way to prevent the widening gap of inter-provincial basic pension is to guide reasonable mobility of productive factors among provinces. Second, government should improve horizontal transfer payment system of basic endowment insurance among provinces, using fiscal policy to reduce regional differences in basic pension support capability. Finally, government should give priority to poor areas in order to increase the accumulation of basic endowment insurance funds to prevent fund gap from aging degree.