湖北成人教育学院学报
湖北成人教育學院學報
호북성인교육학원학보
Journal of Hubei Adult Education Institute
2015年
6期
43-47
,共5页
旅游业发展%居民收入水平%城镇化水平
旅遊業髮展%居民收入水平%城鎮化水平
여유업발전%거민수입수평%성진화수평
development of tourism%income level of residents%level of urbanization
通过实证研究确定了旅游业(国内旅游)发展与居民收入(城镇居民收入与农村居民收入)水平之间的协整关系,认为与城镇居民收入相比,农村居民收入对旅游收入的增长影响更为明显。误差修正模型得出了相似的结论,而格兰杰因果关系检验(Granger)却发现只有城镇居民收入水平是国内旅游业发展的格兰杰(Granger)原因。由此,进一步研究发现,旅游收入增长的真正原因确实应该是城镇居民收入的提高,而不是农村居民收入的提高。城镇居民收入的变化影响着农村居民收入,进而影响旅游收入的增长。
通過實證研究確定瞭旅遊業(國內旅遊)髮展與居民收入(城鎮居民收入與農村居民收入)水平之間的協整關繫,認為與城鎮居民收入相比,農村居民收入對旅遊收入的增長影響更為明顯。誤差脩正模型得齣瞭相似的結論,而格蘭傑因果關繫檢驗(Granger)卻髮現隻有城鎮居民收入水平是國內旅遊業髮展的格蘭傑(Granger)原因。由此,進一步研究髮現,旅遊收入增長的真正原因確實應該是城鎮居民收入的提高,而不是農村居民收入的提高。城鎮居民收入的變化影響著農村居民收入,進而影響旅遊收入的增長。
통과실증연구학정료여유업(국내여유)발전여거민수입(성진거민수입여농촌거민수입)수평지간적협정관계,인위여성진거민수입상비,농촌거민수입대여유수입적증장영향경위명현。오차수정모형득출료상사적결론,이격란걸인과관계검험(Granger)각발현지유성진거민수입수평시국내여유업발전적격란걸(Granger)원인。유차,진일보연구발현,여유수입증장적진정원인학실응해시성진거민수입적제고,이불시농촌거민수입적제고。성진거민수입적변화영향착농촌거민수입,진이영향여유수입적증장。
Empirical study to determine the co-integration relationship between the level of tourism (domes-tic tourism)development and income of residents (the income of urban residents and the income of rural resi-dents),compared with income of urban residents,the income of rural residents impacts on the growth of tourism revenue obviously.The error correction model reached a similar conclusion,But,Granger causality test found that only the income of urban residents is the Granger cause of the development of domestic tourism.The further study of this article found that the reason for the tourism income raise lies in the income raise of urban residents rather than the income raise of rural residents.The variation of urban residents'income influences the growth of tourism income by its influence on the income of rural residents.