CAJ | 학술논문

运用指数平滑法对宜宾港集装箱运输需求与港口供给间的平衡性进行测算得出：到2020年，宜宾港集装箱运能将出现“供大于求”的情况，产生资源闲置、浪费等问题。“供大于求”的内河港口要实现供需均衡，务必在货源方面加以拓展。本地经济的崛起和城市产业联盟的形成是大幅增加货源量的关键，而完备的配套设施和优质的服务能提升港口软实力，进一步促进港口繁荣发展。
운용지수평활법대의빈항집장상운수수구여항구공급간적평형성진행측산득출：도2020년，의빈항집장상운능장출현“공대우구”적정황，산생자원한치、낭비등문제。“공대우구”적내하항구요실현공수균형，무필재화원방면가이탁전。본지경제적굴기화성시산업련맹적형성시대폭증가화원량적관건，이완비적배투설시화우질적복무능제승항구연실력，진일보촉진항구번영발전。
Yibin Port ’ s balanced situation between containers transportation demand and port supply was measured by exponential smoothing method .The conclusion was that Yibin Port would appear a characteris-tic of “glut” with container transport capacity , meanwhile , there would be some problems such as idle re-sources and waste in 2020.To achieve the balance between “oversupplied” inland port supply and demand , the supply must be expanded .Local economic growth and the formation of industrial union would be the key to increase the amount of supply;and comprehensive supporting facilities and high quality services would en-hance the port ’ s soft power , further accelerate the development of it .