青岛农业大学学报(社会科学版)
青島農業大學學報(社會科學版)
청도농업대학학보(사회과학판)
Journal of Qingdao Agricultural University (Social Science Edition)
2015年
4期
10-15
,共6页
四化同步%农产品价格%因子分析%CPI
四化同步%農產品價格%因子分析%CPI
사화동보%농산품개격%인자분석%CPI
synchronous development of four modernizations%agricultural product prices%factor analysis%CPI
基于“四化同步”的背景下,选取1994-2013年数据,对我国农产品价格对居民消费价格指数(CPI)的影响进行实证研究。结果表明:人均GDP和货币供应量对CPI具有显著的驱动效应;与加快的工业化、城镇化进程驱动CPI上涨不同,信息化、农业现代化的推进则会抑制CPI的上涨;农产品价格的提高则会进一步推进CPI上升。为此,应推进工业化、城镇化、信息化与农业现代化同步发展,保障农产品供给,稳定农产品价格。
基于“四化同步”的揹景下,選取1994-2013年數據,對我國農產品價格對居民消費價格指數(CPI)的影響進行實證研究。結果錶明:人均GDP和貨幣供應量對CPI具有顯著的驅動效應;與加快的工業化、城鎮化進程驅動CPI上漲不同,信息化、農業現代化的推進則會抑製CPI的上漲;農產品價格的提高則會進一步推進CPI上升。為此,應推進工業化、城鎮化、信息化與農業現代化同步髮展,保障農產品供給,穩定農產品價格。
기우“사화동보”적배경하,선취1994-2013년수거,대아국농산품개격대거민소비개격지수(CPI)적영향진행실증연구。결과표명:인균GDP화화폐공응량대CPI구유현저적구동효응;여가쾌적공업화、성진화진정구동CPI상창불동,신식화、농업현대화적추진칙회억제CPI적상창;농산품개격적제고칙회진일보추진CPI상승。위차,응추진공업화、성진화、신식화여농업현대화동보발전,보장농산품공급,은정농산품개격。
Selecting the annual data from 1994 to 2013, this paper makes empirical researches on the impact of Chinese agricultural product prices on CPI under the background of synchronous development of four modernizations.The results show that the per capita GDP and money supply has significant driving effect on CPI. Unlike the industrialization and urbanization driving CPI rise, the informatization and agricultural modernization would inhibit CPI rise.The increase in agricultural product prices would further promote the CPI increase. Therefore, the simultaneous development of industrialization, urbanization, informatization and agricultural modernization should be promoted, which ensures the supply of agricultural products and stabilizes agricultural product prices.