价值工程
價值工程
개치공정
VALUE ENGINEERING
2013年
12期
315-316
,共2页
入境旅游%新疆%地理集中指数%灰色系统模型
入境旅遊%新疆%地理集中指數%灰色繫統模型
입경여유%신강%지리집중지수%회색계통모형
inbound tourism%Xinjiang%geographic concentration index%the grey system model
利用年际变动指数、地理集中指数对新疆入境旅游时空演变特征进行定量分析.研究表明:入境旅游呈现人数波动式增长,入境游客中外国游客占主导;入境旅游年际变化较大,客源市场不稳定.利用灰色系统模型GM (1,1)模型对新疆未来五年入境旅游指标进行预测,以期为新疆旅游管理部门和旅游企业提供参考.
利用年際變動指數、地理集中指數對新疆入境旅遊時空縯變特徵進行定量分析.研究錶明:入境旅遊呈現人數波動式增長,入境遊客中外國遊客佔主導;入境旅遊年際變化較大,客源市場不穩定.利用灰色繫統模型GM (1,1)模型對新疆未來五年入境旅遊指標進行預測,以期為新疆旅遊管理部門和旅遊企業提供參攷.
이용년제변동지수、지리집중지수대신강입경여유시공연변특정진행정량분석.연구표명:입경여유정현인수파동식증장,입경유객중외국유객점주도;입경여유년제변화교대,객원시장불은정.이용회색계통모형GM (1,1)모형대신강미래오년입경여유지표진행예측,이기위신강여유관리부문화여유기업제공삼고.
This paper uses the interannual variation index and geographic concentration index to conduct quantitative analysis of the space evolution characteristics of Xinjiang inbound tourism. Research shows that: the number of inbound tourism shows fluctuant growth, and the foreign tourists is main part of inbound tourists;the interannual variation is big and the tourist market is instable. By using the grey system model GM (1, 1), the inbound tourism indicators in Xinjiang over the next five years are forecasted in order to provide reference for the Xinjiang Department of tourism management and tourism enterprises.
